默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Vegas Golden Knights v Calgary Flames

开赛时间: 2026-04-03 02:10 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

38 家博彩公司 (13 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Vegas Golden Knights (主队)

预测 67.26%1.49公平赔率
EV -2.47%
优势 -1.71%
Kelly -5.50%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.45

博彩公司预测分布
65.06%67.31%67.13%68.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.311.421.421.4576.34%70.46%70.42%68.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

Calgary Flames (客队)

预测 32.74%3.05公平赔率
EV -0.140%
优势 -0.046%
Kelly -0.068%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.05

博彩公司预测分布
31.46%32.69%32.87%34.94%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.672.902.903.0537.45%34.49%34.48%32.79%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Vegas Golden Knights (主队):67.26%;Calgary Flames (客队):32.74%。 对于“Calgary Flames (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.054。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.050,期望值为-0.140%,未产生正期望值。

有 22 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(3 个赛果,而分析采用 2 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.27%EV -2.47%E -1.71%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.73%EV -2.43%E -0.816%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-03 02:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.74%EV -2.47%E -1.71%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.26%EV -4.72%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-03 02:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.74%EV -2.47%E -1.71%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.26%EV -4.72%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-03 02:05
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.47%E -1.71%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.33%E -2.97%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 02:04
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.47%E -1.71%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.33%E -2.97%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 02:05
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.47%E -1.71%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -11.60%E -4.30%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 02:04
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.15%E -2.19%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.69%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 02:02
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -3.15%E -2.19%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -8.98%E -3.23%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 02:05
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -3.15%E -2.19%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -8.98%E -3.23%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 02:04
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.41%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 02:03
ReBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -4.07%E -1.39%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 01:59
Paddy Power🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 02:03
GTbets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 02:05
BetAnything🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 02:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 02:05
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -5.71%E -1.98%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 02:05
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -6.36%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 02:04
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 02:04
Bet Right🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.41%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 02:05
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.41%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 02:05
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 02:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 02:04
Fliff🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 02:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -5.38%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 02:00
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.16%E -3.66%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 02:05
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.16%E -3.66%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 02:04
Caesars🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -0.140%E -0.046%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 02:05
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 01:54
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 02:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 02:04
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 02:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.41%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 02:04
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 01:59
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 02:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 02:05
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.33%E -2.97%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 02:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.33%E -2.97%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 02:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 67.09%EV -11.89%E -9.08%K -38.36%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.91%EV -12.58%E -4.71%K -7.53%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-03 02:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (9)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
ProphetX1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-04-03 02:04
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-04-03 02:05
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-04-03 02:05
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-04-03 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 66.97%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03%1.6%2026-04-03 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%2.1%2026-04-03 02:05
Novig1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%2.1%2026-04-03 02:05
BetOpenly1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%2.2%2026-04-03 01:59
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 67.12%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.88%2.7%2026-04-03 02:05

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (22)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2选项 3利润率 ▲更新时间
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.60%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16%3.3%2026-04-03 02:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.60%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16%3.3%2026-04-03 02:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.60%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16%3.3%2026-04-03 02:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.60%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16%3.3%2026-04-03 02:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.06%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.97%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.97%4.3%2026-04-03 02:04
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%4.4%2026-04-03 02:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.28%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.49%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%4.7%2026-04-03 01:59
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.86%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.47%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.67%4.7%2026-04-03 01:59
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%5.2%2026-04-03 02:05
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%5.2%2026-04-03 02:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%5.2%2026-04-03 02:05
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%5.2%2026-04-03 02:04
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.64%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%6.4%2026-04-03 02:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%7.0%2026-04-03 02:04
LeoVegas🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%7.7%2026-04-03 02:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.07%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%8.1%2026-04-03 01:59
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%8.8%2026-04-03 02:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%8.8%2026-04-03 02:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%8.8%2026-04-03 02:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.80%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47%9.3%2026-04-03 02:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.22%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.48%9.7%2026-04-03 02:03
PMU (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.32%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.19%12.6%2026-04-03 02:04