La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.45
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.05
22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.27%EV -2.47%E -1.71%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.73%EV -2.43%E -0.816%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.74%EV -2.47%E -1.71%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.26%EV -4.72%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.74%EV -2.47%E -1.71%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.26%EV -4.72%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.47%E -1.71%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.33%E -2.97%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Everygame | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.47%E -1.71%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.33%E -2.97%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| TAB | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.47%E -1.71%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -11.60%E -4.30%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Bovada | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.15%E -2.19%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.69%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-03 02:02 |
| NordicBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -3.15%E -2.19%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -8.98%E -3.23%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Betsson | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -3.15%E -2.19%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -8.98%E -3.23%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| BetUS | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.41%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 02:03 |
| ReBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -4.07%E -1.39%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-03 01:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 02:03 |
| GTbets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -5.71%E -1.98%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -6.36%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.41%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.41%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Fliff | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -5.38%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-03 02:00 |
| betPARX | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.16%E -3.66%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.16%E -3.66%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Caesars | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -0.140%E -0.046%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 01:54 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.41%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 01:59 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.33%E -2.97%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 02:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.33%E -2.97%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 67.09%EV -11.89%E -9.08%K -38.36%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.91%EV -12.58%E -4.71%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-03 02:00 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Kalshi | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.4% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.97% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03% | 1.6% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88% | 2.1% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Novig | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88% | 2.1% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| BetOpenly | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57% | 2.2% | 2026-04-03 01:59 |
| Smarkets | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.12% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.88% | 2.7% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.60% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16% | 3.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.60% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16% | 3.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.60% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16% | 3.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.60% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16% | 3.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.06% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.97% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.97% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.28% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.49% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 01:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.86% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.47% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.67% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 01:59 |
| Unibet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Casumo | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.64% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19% | 7.7% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.07% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51% | 8.1% | 2026-04-03 01:59 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 02:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.80% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47% | 9.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.22% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.48% | 9.7% | 2026-04-03 02:03 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.32% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.19% | 12.6% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |