مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Vegas Golden Knights v Calgary Flames
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Vegas Golden Knights (المضيف)
التنبؤ 67.26%1.49السعر العادل
EV -2.47%
الأفضلية -1.71%
Kelly -5.50%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.45
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
65.06%67.31%67.13%68.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.311.421.421.4576.34%70.46%70.42%68.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Calgary Flames (الضيف)
التنبؤ 32.74%3.05السعر العادل
EV -0.140%
الأفضلية -0.046%
Kelly -0.068%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.05
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.46%32.69%32.87%34.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.672.902.903.0537.45%34.49%34.48%32.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعرض 22 شركة مراهنات عددًا مختلفًا من الخيارات لهذا السوق (سوق بعدد نتائج قدره 3 مقابل سوق بعدد نتائج قدره 2 المستخدم في التحليل). ينبغي تفسير نتائج التحليل بحذر بسبب هذا التفاوت.
أسعار شركات المراهنات (38 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.27%EV -2.47%E -1.71%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.73%EV -2.43%E -0.816%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.74%EV -2.47%E -1.71%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.26%EV -4.72%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.74%EV -2.47%E -1.71%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.26%EV -4.72%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.47%E -1.71%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.33%E -2.97%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Everygame | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.47%E -1.71%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.33%E -2.97%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| TAB | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.47%E -1.71%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -11.60%E -4.30%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Bovada | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.15%E -2.19%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.69%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-03 02:02 |
| NordicBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -3.15%E -2.19%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -8.98%E -3.23%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Betsson | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -3.15%E -2.19%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -8.98%E -3.23%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| BetUS | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.41%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 02:03 |
| ReBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -4.07%E -1.39%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-03 01:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 02:03 |
| GTbets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -5.71%E -1.98%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -6.36%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.41%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.41%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Fliff | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -5.38%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-03 02:00 |
| betPARX | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.16%E -3.66%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.16%E -3.66%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Caesars | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -0.140%E -0.046%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 01:54 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.41%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 01:59 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.33%E -2.97%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 02:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.33%E -2.97%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 67.09%EV -11.89%E -9.08%K -38.36%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.91%EV -12.58%E -4.71%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-03 02:00 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (9)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Kalshi | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.4% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.97% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03% | 1.6% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88% | 2.1% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Novig | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88% | 2.1% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| BetOpenly | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57% | 2.2% | 2026-04-03 01:59 |
| Smarkets | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.12% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.88% | 2.7% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
شركات مراهنات أخرى — غير مشمولة في التحليل (22)
تعرض هذه الشركات عددًا مختلفًا من الخيارات لهذا السوق، ولذلك استُبعدت من التحليل. وتُعرض أسعارها للرجوع إليها فقط؛ فقد تختلف قواعد تسوية رهاناتها وتنطوي على قدر إضافي من عدم اليقين.
| شركة المراهنات | الخيار 1 | الخيار 2 | الخيار 3 | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.60% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16% | 3.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.60% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16% | 3.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.60% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16% | 3.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.60% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16% | 3.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.06% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.97% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.97% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.28% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.49% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 01:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.86% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.47% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.67% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 01:59 |
| Unibet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Casumo | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.64% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19% | 7.7% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.07% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51% | 8.1% | 2026-04-03 01:59 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 02:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.80% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47% | 9.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.22% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.48% | 9.7% | 2026-04-03 02:03 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.32% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.19% | 12.6% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |