L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Vegas Golden Knights v Calgary Flames
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Vegas Golden Knights (Local)
Prévision 67.26%1.49cote équitable
EV -2.47%
Avantage -1.71%
Kelly -5.50%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.06%67.31%67.13%68.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.311.421.421.4576.34%70.46%70.42%68.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Calgary Flames (Visiteur)
Prévision 32.74%3.05cote équitable
EV -0.140%
Avantage -0.046%
Kelly -0.068%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.46%32.69%32.87%34.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.672.902.903.0537.45%34.49%34.48%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.27%EV -2.47%E -1.71%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.73%EV -2.43%E -0.816%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.74%EV -2.47%E -1.71%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.26%EV -4.72%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.74%EV -2.47%E -1.71%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.26%EV -4.72%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.47%E -1.71%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.33%E -2.97%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Everygame | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.47%E -1.71%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.33%E -2.97%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| TAB | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.47%E -1.71%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -11.60%E -4.30%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Bovada | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.15%E -2.19%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.69%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-03 02:02 |
| NordicBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -3.15%E -2.19%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -8.98%E -3.23%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Betsson | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -3.15%E -2.19%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -8.98%E -3.23%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| BetUS | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.41%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 02:03 |
| ReBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -4.07%E -1.39%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-03 01:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 02:03 |
| GTbets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -5.71%E -1.98%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -6.36%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.41%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.41%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Fliff | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -5.38%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-03 02:00 |
| betPARX | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.16%E -3.66%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.16%E -3.66%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Caesars | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -0.140%E -0.046%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 01:54 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.41%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 01:59 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.33%E -2.97%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 02:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.33%E -2.97%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 67.09%EV -11.89%E -9.08%K -38.36%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.91%EV -12.58%E -4.71%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-03 02:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Kalshi | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.4% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.97% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03% | 1.6% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88% | 2.1% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Novig | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88% | 2.1% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| BetOpenly | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57% | 2.2% | 2026-04-03 01:59 |
| Smarkets | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.12% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.88% | 2.7% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.60% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16% | 3.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.60% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16% | 3.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.60% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16% | 3.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.60% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16% | 3.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.06% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.97% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.97% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.28% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.49% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 01:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.86% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.47% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.67% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 01:59 |
| Unibet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Casumo | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.64% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19% | 7.7% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.07% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51% | 8.1% | 2026-04-03 01:59 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 02:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.80% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47% | 9.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.22% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.48% | 9.7% | 2026-04-03 02:03 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.32% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.19% | 12.6% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |