A Escola das Odds

Vegas Golden Knights v Calgary Flames

Início: 2026-04-03 02:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Vegas Golden Knights (Local)

Previsão 67.26%1.49odd justa
EV -2.47%
Vantagem -1.71%
Kelly -5.50%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.06%67.31%67.13%68.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.311.421.421.4576.34%70.46%70.42%68.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Calgary Flames (Visitante)

Previsão 32.74%3.05odd justa
EV -0.140%
Vantagem -0.046%
Kelly -0.068%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.46%32.69%32.87%34.94%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.672.902.903.0537.45%34.49%34.48%32.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 casas de apostas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado (3 opções, em vez das 2 opções usadas na análise). Os resultados da análise devem ser interpretados com prudência devido a esta disparidade.

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 67.27%EV -2.47%E -1.71%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.73%EV -2.43%E -0.816%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-03 02:05
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.74%EV -2.47%E -1.71%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.26%EV -4.72%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-03 02:05
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.74%EV -2.47%E -1.71%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.26%EV -4.72%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-03 02:05
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.47%E -1.71%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.33%E -2.97%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 02:04
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.47%E -1.71%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.33%E -2.97%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 02:05
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.47%E -1.71%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -11.60%E -4.30%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 02:04
Bovada1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.15%E -2.19%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.69%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 02:02
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -3.15%E -2.19%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -8.98%E -3.23%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 02:05
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -3.15%E -2.19%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -8.98%E -3.23%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 02:04
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.41%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 02:03
ReBet1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -4.07%E -1.39%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 01:59
Paddy Power1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 02:03
GTbets1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 02:05
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 02:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 02:05
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -5.71%E -1.98%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 02:05
SportsBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -6.36%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 02:04
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 02:04
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.41%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 02:05
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.41%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 02:05
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 02:04
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 02:04
Fliff1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 02:04
MyBookie.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -5.38%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 02:00
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.16%E -3.66%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 02:05
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.16%E -3.66%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 02:04
Caesars1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -0.140%E -0.046%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 02:05
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 01:54
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 02:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 02:04
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 02:05
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.41%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 02:04
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 01:59
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 02:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 02:05
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.33%E -2.97%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 02:00
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.33%E -2.97%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 02:04
NetBet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 67.09%EV -11.89%E -9.08%K -38.36%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.91%EV -12.58%E -4.71%K -7.53%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-03 02:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-04-03 02:04
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-04-03 02:05
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-04-03 02:05
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-04-03 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 66.97%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03%1.6%2026-04-03 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%2.1%2026-04-03 02:05
Novig1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%2.1%2026-04-03 02:05
BetOpenly1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%2.2%2026-04-03 01:59
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 67.12%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.88%2.7%2026-04-03 02:05

Outras casas de apostas — não incluídas na análise (22)

Estas casas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado e são excluídas da análise. As respetivas odds são apresentadas apenas como referência — as regras de liquidação das apostas podem ser diferentes e implicar incerteza adicional.

Casa de apostasOpção 1Opção 2Opção 3Margem ▲Atualização
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.60%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16%3.3%2026-04-03 02:05
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.60%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16%3.3%2026-04-03 02:05
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.60%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16%3.3%2026-04-03 02:05
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.60%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16%3.3%2026-04-03 02:05
Unibet (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.06%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.97%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.97%4.3%2026-04-03 02:04
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%4.4%2026-04-03 02:05
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.28%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.49%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%4.7%2026-04-03 01:59
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.86%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.47%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.67%4.7%2026-04-03 01:59
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%5.2%2026-04-03 02:05
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%5.2%2026-04-03 02:05
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%5.2%2026-04-03 02:05
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%5.2%2026-04-03 02:04
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 57.64%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%6.4%2026-04-03 02:04
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%7.0%2026-04-03 02:04
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%7.7%2026-04-03 02:04
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.07%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%8.1%2026-04-03 01:59
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%8.8%2026-04-03 02:04
Codere (IT)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%8.8%2026-04-03 02:00
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%8.8%2026-04-03 02:05
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.80%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47%9.3%2026-04-03 02:05
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.22%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.48%9.7%2026-04-03 02:03
PMU (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.32%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.19%12.6%2026-04-03 02:04