La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Vegas Golden Knights v Calgary Flames
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Vegas Golden Knights (Local)
Predicción 67.26%1.49momio equitativo
EV -2.47%
Ventaja -1.71%
Kelly -5.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.06%67.31%67.13%68.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.311.421.421.4576.34%70.46%70.42%68.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Calgary Flames (Visitante)
Predicción 32.74%3.05momio equitativo
EV -0.140%
Ventaja -0.046%
Kelly -0.068%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.46%32.69%32.87%34.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.672.902.903.0537.45%34.49%34.48%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.27%EV -2.47%E -1.71%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.73%EV -2.43%E -0.816%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.74%EV -2.47%E -1.71%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.26%EV -4.72%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.74%EV -2.47%E -1.71%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.26%EV -4.72%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.47%E -1.71%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.33%E -2.97%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Everygame | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.47%E -1.71%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.33%E -2.97%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| TAB | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.47%E -1.71%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -11.60%E -4.30%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Bovada | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.15%E -2.19%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.69%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-03 02:02 |
| NordicBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -3.15%E -2.19%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -8.98%E -3.23%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Betsson | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -3.15%E -2.19%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -8.98%E -3.23%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| BetUS | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.41%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 02:03 |
| ReBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -4.07%E -1.39%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-03 01:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 02:03 |
| GTbets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -5.71%E -1.98%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -6.36%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.41%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.41%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Fliff | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -5.38%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-03 02:00 |
| betPARX | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.16%E -3.66%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.16%E -3.66%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Caesars | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -0.140%E -0.046%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 01:54 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.78%E -0.592%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.41%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 01:59 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.33%E -2.97%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 02:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.33%E -2.97%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 67.09%EV -11.89%E -9.08%K -38.36%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.91%EV -12.58%E -4.71%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-03 02:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Kalshi | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.4% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.97% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03% | 1.6% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88% | 2.1% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Novig | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88% | 2.1% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| BetOpenly | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57% | 2.2% | 2026-04-03 01:59 |
| Smarkets | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.12% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.88% | 2.7% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (22)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.60% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16% | 3.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.60% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16% | 3.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.60% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16% | 3.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.60% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16% | 3.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.06% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.97% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.97% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.28% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.49% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 01:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.86% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.47% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.67% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 01:59 |
| Unibet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Casumo | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.64% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19% | 7.7% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.07% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51% | 8.1% | 2026-04-03 01:59 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 02:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.80% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47% | 9.3% | 2026-04-03 02:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.22% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.48% | 9.7% | 2026-04-03 02:03 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.32% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.19% | 12.6% | 2026-04-03 02:04 |