语言:简体中文
Las Vegas Aces v Phoenix Mercury
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Las Vegas Aces (主队)
预测 76.01%1.32公平赔率
EV -3.46%
优势 -2.73%
Kelly -12.83%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.27
博彩公司预测分布
74.23%75.89%76.11%77.21%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.201.251.251.2783.33%79.86%79.68%78.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
Phoenix Mercury (客队)
预测 23.99%4.17公平赔率
EV +0.745%
优势 +0.177%
Kelly +0.233%
增长率 +0.002%
假设最高赔率为 4.20
博彩公司预测分布
22.79%24.11%23.89%25.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.933.954.2027.78%25.46%25.32%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Las Vegas Aces (主队)：76.01%；Phoenix Mercury (客队)：23.99%。 对于“Phoenix Mercury (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.17。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.20，对应+0.745%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +0.745%E +0.177%K +0.233%G +0.002% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -1.65%E -0.403%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-11 22:03 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.65%E -0.403%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.65%E -0.403%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-11 22:03 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -2.85%E -0.704%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -3.33%E -0.827%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -3.33%E -0.827%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-11 21:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-11 22:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 21:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 21:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 21:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-11 21:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.76%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.24%EV -4.77%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 22:03 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -5.97%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.45%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 22:03 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 21:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -8.78%E -7.32%K -43.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -11.25%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-11 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -11.25%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-11 21:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -12.45%E -3.41%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.65%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-11 21:58 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (8)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.81% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 25.19% | 1.3% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25% | 7.0% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |