La scuola delle quote

Las Vegas Aces v Phoenix Mercury

Inizio: 2026-07-11 22:06 UTC

Finale: Las Vegas Aces 106–58 Phoenix Mercury

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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46 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Las Vegas Aces (Casa)

Previsione 76.01%1.32quota equa
EV -3.46%
Vantaggio -2.73%
Kelly -12.83%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.27

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
74.23%75.89%76.11%77.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.201.251.251.2783.33%79.86%79.68%78.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Phoenix Mercury (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.99%4.17quota equa
EV +0.745%
Vantaggio +0.177%
Kelly +0.233%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.79%24.11%23.89%25.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.933.954.2027.78%25.46%25.32%23.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +0.745%E +0.177%K +0.233%G +0.002%4.5%2026-07-11 22:04
Bet Victor1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -1.65%E -0.403%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-11 22:03
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.65%E -0.403%K -0.533%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 22:04
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.65%E -0.403%K -0.533%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 22:03
Fliff1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -2.85%E -0.704%K -0.935%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 22:04
LowVig.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -3.33%E -0.827%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 22:04
BetOnline.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -3.33%E -0.827%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 22:04
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 22:05
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 21:59
BetUS1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 22:00
FanDuel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 22:04
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 21:59
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 22:04
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 21:59
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 22:04
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 22:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 22:05
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 21:59
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 21:59
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 21:50
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 75.76%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.24%EV -4.77%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 22:04
Unibet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 22:04
Unibet (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 22:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 22:04
Unibet (NL)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 22:04
Bovada1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 22:03
Svenska Spel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 22:04
ATG (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 22:04
betPARX1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 22:05
Bally Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 22:04
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 22:04
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 22:05
SportsBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 22:05
BetAnything1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -5.97%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 22:05
theScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.45%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 22:04
MyBookie.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 22:03
ReBet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 21:59
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 22:04
Hard Rock Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 22:05
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 22:04
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 22:04
PMU (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -8.78%E -7.32%K -43.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-11 22:04
Betsson1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -11.25%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 22:00
NordicBet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -11.25%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 21:59
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -12.45%E -3.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-11 22:04
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.65%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-11 21:58
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-07-11 22:05
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 74.81%3.92I 25.51%NM 25.19%1.3%2026-07-11 22:05
Polymarket1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-07-11 22:05
ProphetX1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%4.8%2026-07-11 22:05
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%5.2%2026-07-11 22:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%6.7%2026-07-11 22:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%6.7%2026-07-11 22:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%7.0%2026-07-11 22:05