A Escola das OddsLas Vegas Aces v Phoenix Mercury
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Las Vegas Aces (Local)
Previsão 76.01%1.32odd justa
EV -3.46%
Vantagem -2.73%
Kelly -12.83%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.27
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
74.23%75.89%76.11%77.21%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.201.251.251.2783.33%79.86%79.68%78.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Phoenix Mercury (Visitante)
Previsão 23.99%4.17odd justa
EV +0.745%
Vantagem +0.177%
Kelly +0.233%
Crescimento +0.002%
pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.79%24.11%23.89%25.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.603.933.954.2027.78%25.46%25.32%23.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +0.745%E +0.177%K +0.233%G +0.002% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| Bet Victor | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -1.65%E -0.403%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-11 22:03 |
| Fanatics | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.65%E -0.403%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| Caesars | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.65%E -0.403%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-11 22:03 |
| Fliff | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -2.85%E -0.704%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -3.33%E -0.827%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -3.33%E -0.827%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| GTbets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-11 21:59 |
| BetUS | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-11 22:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 21:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 21:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| Neds | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 21:59 |
| TAB | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-11 21:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.76%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.24%EV -4.77%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| Unibet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| Bovada | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 22:03 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| betPARX | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| BetRivers | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -5.97%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.45%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 22:03 |
| ReBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 21:59 |
| Betway | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| Coolbet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -8.78%E -7.32%K -43.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| Betsson | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -11.25%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-11 22:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -11.25%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-11 21:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -12.45%E -3.41%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.65%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-11 21:58 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (8)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| Novig | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.81% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 25.19% | 1.3% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25% | 7.0% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |