L’École des cotesLas Vegas Aces v Phoenix Mercury
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Las Vegas Aces (Local)
Prévision 76.01%1.32cote équitable
EV -3.46%
Avantage -2.73%
Kelly -12.83%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.27
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.23%75.89%76.11%77.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.201.251.251.2783.33%79.86%79.68%78.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Phoenix Mercury (Visiteur)
Prévision 23.99%4.17cote équitable
EV +0.745%
Avantage +0.177%
Kelly +0.233%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 4.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.79%24.11%23.89%25.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.933.954.2027.78%25.46%25.32%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +0.745%E +0.177%K +0.233%G +0.002% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| Bet Victor | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -1.65%E -0.403%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-11 22:03 |
| Fanatics | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.65%E -0.403%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| Caesars | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.65%E -0.403%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-11 22:03 |
| Fliff | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -2.85%E -0.704%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -3.33%E -0.827%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -3.33%E -0.827%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| GTbets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-11 21:59 |
| BetUS | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-11 22:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 21:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 21:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| Neds | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 21:59 |
| TAB | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-11 21:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.76%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.24%EV -4.77%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| Unibet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| Bovada | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 22:03 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| betPARX | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| BetRivers | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -5.97%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.45%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 22:03 |
| ReBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 21:59 |
| Betway | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| Coolbet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -8.78%E -7.32%K -43.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| Betsson | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -11.25%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-11 22:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -11.25%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-11 21:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -12.45%E -3.41%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-11 22:04 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.65%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-11 21:58 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| Novig | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.81% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 25.19% | 1.3% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25% | 7.0% | 2026-07-11 22:05 |