Szkoła Kursów

Las Vegas Aces v Phoenix Mercury

Początek: 2026-07-11 22:06 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Las Vegas Aces 106–58 Phoenix Mercury

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

46 bukmacherów (16 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Las Vegas Aces (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 76.01%1.32kurs godziwy
EV -3.46%
Przewaga -2.73%
Kelly -12.83%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.27

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
74.23%75.89%76.11%77.21%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.201.251.251.2783.33%79.86%79.68%78.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Phoenix Mercury (Goście)

Prognoza 23.99%4.17kurs godziwy
EV +0.745%
Przewaga +0.177%
Kelly +0.233%
Wzrost +0.002%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.20

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
22.79%24.11%23.89%25.77%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.603.933.954.2027.78%25.46%25.32%23.81%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (46 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +0.745%E +0.177%K +0.233%G +0.002%4.5%2026-07-11 22:04
Bet Victor1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -1.65%E -0.403%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-11 22:03
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.65%E -0.403%K -0.533%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 22:04
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.65%E -0.403%K -0.533%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 22:03
Fliff1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -2.85%E -0.704%K -0.935%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 22:04
LowVig.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -3.33%E -0.827%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 22:04
BetOnline.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -3.33%E -0.827%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 22:04
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 22:05
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 21:59
BetUS1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 22:00
FanDuel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 22:04
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 21:59
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 22:04
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 21:59
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 22:04
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 22:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 22:05
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 21:59
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 21:59
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 21:50
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 75.76%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.24%EV -4.77%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 22:04
Unibet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 22:04
Unibet (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 22:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 22:04
Unibet (NL)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 22:04
Bovada1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 22:03
Svenska Spel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 22:04
ATG (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 22:04
betPARX1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 22:05
Bally Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 22:04
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 22:04
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 22:05
SportsBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 22:05
BetAnything1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -5.97%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 22:05
theScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.45%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 22:04
MyBookie.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 22:03
ReBet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 21:59
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 22:04
Hard Rock Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 22:05
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 22:04
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 22:04
PMU (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -8.78%E -7.32%K -43.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-11 22:04
Betsson1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -11.25%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 22:00
NordicBet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -11.25%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 21:59
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -12.45%E -3.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-11 22:04
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.65%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-11 21:58
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (8)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-07-11 22:05
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 74.81%3.92I 25.51%NM 25.19%1.3%2026-07-11 22:05
Polymarket1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-07-11 22:05
ProphetX1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%4.8%2026-07-11 22:05
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%5.2%2026-07-11 22:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%6.7%2026-07-11 22:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%6.7%2026-07-11 22:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%7.0%2026-07-11 22:05