Language:English
Miami Heat v Atlanta Hawks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Miami Heat (Local)
Prediction 78.57%1.27fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -2.08%
Kelly -10.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.07%78.57%78.67%80.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.211.221.2486.96%82.52%81.97%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlanta Hawks (Visit)
Prediction 21.43%4.67fair odd
EV +7.16%
Edge +1.43%
Kelly +1.79%
Growth +0.128%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.09%21.43%21.33%22.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.474.505.0025.00%22.36%22.22%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Heat (Local): 78.57%; Atlanta Hawks (Visit): 21.43%. For Atlanta Hawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.67. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.16%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -7.29%E -6.18%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +7.16%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.128% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -7.29%E -6.18%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +2.87%E +0.598%K +0.755%G +0.022% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +1.80%E +0.379%K +0.480%G +0.009% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +1.80%E +0.379%K +0.480%G +0.009% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +1.80%E +0.379%K +0.480%G +0.009% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +1.80%E +0.379%K +0.480%G +0.009% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +1.80%E +0.379%K +0.480%G +0.009% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +0.728%E +0.155%K +0.197%G +0.001% | 3.9% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.91%EV -2.57%E -2.08%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 21.09%EV -0.558%E -0.120%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-12 21:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 21:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 21:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 21:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.76%EV -3.36%E -2.73%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.56I 21.93%NM 21.24%EV -2.27%E -0.498%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-12 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.36%E -2.73%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-12 21:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.36%E -2.73%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-12 21:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 21:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 21:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 21:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 21:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 20:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 20:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 21:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.50%E -5.47%K -34.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -3.36%E -2.73%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -4.63%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-12 21:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -4.63%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 21:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 21:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 22:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 21:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 21:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.29%E -6.18%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.20%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 21:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.20%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 21:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.57%E -2.08%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -7.85%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -7.85%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -7.85%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -7.85%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90%EV -9.65%E -8.39%K -64.31%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -7.85%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.36%E -2.73%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -8.92%E -2.10%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.36%E -2.73%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 21:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 21:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 21:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 21:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -12.13%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 21:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -12.13%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -7.29%E -6.18%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-12 22:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.59% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 19.41% | 0.1% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.75% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 21.25% | 0.8% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.0% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 2.0% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60% | 2.9% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |