مدرسة الاحتمالات

Miami Heat v Atlanta Hawks

البداية: 2026-04-12 22:10 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Miami Heat 143–117 Atlanta Hawks

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

65 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Miami Heat (المضيف)

التنبؤ 78.57%1.27السعر العادل
EV -2.57%
الأفضلية -2.08%
Kelly -10.73%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.24

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
77.07%78.57%78.67%80.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.151.211.221.2486.96%82.52%81.97%80.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Atlanta Hawks (الضيف)

التنبؤ 21.43%4.67السعر العادل
EV +7.16%
الأفضلية +1.43%
Kelly +1.79%
النمو +0.128%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.09%21.43%21.33%22.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.474.505.0025.00%22.36%22.22%20.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (65 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -7.29%E -6.18%K -40.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +7.16%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.128%4.7%2026-04-12 21:50
theScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -7.29%E -6.18%K -40.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +2.87%E +0.598%K +0.755%G +0.022%5.6%2026-04-12 22:00
Unibet (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +1.80%E +0.379%K +0.480%G +0.009%3.7%2026-04-12 21:59
Unibet (NL)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +1.80%E +0.379%K +0.480%G +0.009%3.7%2026-04-12 21:59
ATG (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +1.80%E +0.379%K +0.480%G +0.009%3.7%2026-04-12 21:59
Svenska Spel1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +1.80%E +0.379%K +0.480%G +0.009%3.7%2026-04-12 22:00
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +1.80%E +0.379%K +0.480%G +0.009%4.4%2026-04-12 22:00
FanDuel1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +0.728%E +0.155%K +0.197%G +0.001%3.9%2026-04-12 22:00
1xBet1.24I 80.65%NM 78.91%EV -2.57%E -2.08%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 21.09%EV -0.558%E -0.120%K -0.153%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-12 21:45
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 21:53
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 21:55
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:00
TABtouch1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:00
Unibet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:00
betPARX1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:00
Bally Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:00
BetMGM1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 21:55
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 21:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:00
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:00
Virgin Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:00
LiveScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:00
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 78.76%EV -3.36%E -2.73%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.24%EV -2.27%E -0.498%K -0.638%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 21:55
Winamax (DE)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.36%E -2.73%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 21:55
ReBet1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.36%E -2.73%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 21:54
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 21:55
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 22:00
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 21:49
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 21:49
GTbets1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 22:00
Betr (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 21:50
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 21:54
BetAnything1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 20:59
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 20:59
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 21:54
Hard Rock Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 22:05
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 21:59
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.50%E -5.47%K -34.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 21:59
Unibet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -3.36%E -2.73%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -4.63%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-12 21:55
Marathon Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -4.63%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 21:40
Codere (IT)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 21:54
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 22:04
Dabble (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 22:05
MyBookie.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 21:55
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 21:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 21:55
PMU (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.29%E -6.18%K -40.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 22:00
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.20%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 21:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.20%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 21:34
Pinnacle1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.57%E -2.08%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -7.85%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 22:05
Bet Right1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -7.85%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 22:00
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -7.85%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 22:05
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -7.85%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 22:05
LeoVegas1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90%EV -9.65%E -8.39%K -64.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -7.85%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 22:00
Fliff1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.36%E -2.73%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -8.92%E -2.10%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 22:00
Bovada1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.36%E -2.73%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:05
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 21:35
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 21:35
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 21:35
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 21:50
Winamax (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 21:55
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -12.13%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 21:54
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -12.13%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 21:59
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -7.29%E -6.18%K -40.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 22:04
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.24I 80.65%NM 80.59%5.15I 19.42%NM 19.41%0.1%2026-04-12 21:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-04-12 22:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-04-12 22:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-04-12 22:05
ProphetX1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-04-12 22:05
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-04-12 22:00
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 78.75%4.67I 21.41%NM 21.25%0.8%2026-04-12 22:05
Polymarket1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.0%2026-04-12 22:00
Kalshi1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%2.0%2026-04-12 21:50
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%2.9%2026-04-12 22:05