La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Miami Heat v Atlanta Hawks
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Miami Heat (Local)
Predicción 78.57%1.27momio equitativo
EV -2.57%
Ventaja -2.08%
Kelly -10.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.24
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
77.07%78.57%78.67%80.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.151.211.221.2486.96%82.52%81.97%80.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Atlanta Hawks (Visitante)
Predicción 21.43%4.67momio equitativo
EV +7.16%
Ventaja +1.43%
Kelly +1.79%
Crecimiento +0.128%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.09%21.43%21.33%22.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.474.505.0025.00%22.36%22.22%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -7.29%E -6.18%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +7.16%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.128% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -7.29%E -6.18%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +2.87%E +0.598%K +0.755%G +0.022% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +1.80%E +0.379%K +0.480%G +0.009% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +1.80%E +0.379%K +0.480%G +0.009% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +1.80%E +0.379%K +0.480%G +0.009% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +1.80%E +0.379%K +0.480%G +0.009% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +1.80%E +0.379%K +0.480%G +0.009% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +0.728%E +0.155%K +0.197%G +0.001% | 3.9% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.91%EV -2.57%E -2.08%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 21.09%EV -0.558%E -0.120%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-12 21:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 21:53 |
| BetUS | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 21:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Unibet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| betPARX | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 21:55 |
| Neds | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.76%EV -3.36%E -2.73%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.56I 21.93%NM 21.24%EV -2.27%E -0.498%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-12 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.36%E -2.73%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-12 21:55 |
| ReBet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.36%E -2.73%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-12 21:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 21:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| TAB | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 21:49 |
| Fanatics | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 21:49 |
| GTbets | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 21:54 |
| BetAnything | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 20:59 |
| Everygame | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 20:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 21:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Sky Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Betway | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.50%E -5.47%K -34.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -3.36%E -2.73%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -4.63%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-12 21:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -4.63%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 21:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 21:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 22:04 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 21:55 |
| Coral | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 21:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.29%E -6.18%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.20%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 21:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.20%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 21:34 |
| Pinnacle | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.57%E -2.08%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -7.85%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -7.85%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -7.85%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Betsson | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -7.85%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90%EV -9.65%E -8.39%K -64.31%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -7.85%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Fliff | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.36%E -2.73%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -8.92%E -2.10%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Bovada | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.36%E -2.73%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 21:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 21:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 21:35 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 21:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -12.13%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 21:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -12.13%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -7.29%E -6.18%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-12 22:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.59% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 19.41% | 0.1% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Novig | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.75% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 21.25% | 0.8% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.0% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 2.0% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60% | 2.9% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |