L’École des cotes

Miami Heat v Atlanta Hawks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 22:10 UTC

Score final : Miami Heat 143–117 Atlanta Hawks

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Miami Heat (Local)

Prévision 78.57%1.27cote équitable
EV -2.57%
Avantage -2.08%
Kelly -10.73%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
77.07%78.57%78.67%80.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.151.211.221.2486.96%82.52%81.97%80.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atlanta Hawks (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.43%4.67cote équitable
EV +7.16%
Avantage +1.43%
Kelly +1.79%
Croissance +0.128%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.09%21.43%21.33%22.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.474.505.0025.00%22.36%22.22%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -7.29%E -6.18%K -40.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +7.16%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.128%4.7%2026-04-12 21:50
theScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -7.29%E -6.18%K -40.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +2.87%E +0.598%K +0.755%G +0.022%5.6%2026-04-12 22:00
Unibet (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +1.80%E +0.379%K +0.480%G +0.009%3.7%2026-04-12 21:59
Unibet (NL)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +1.80%E +0.379%K +0.480%G +0.009%3.7%2026-04-12 21:59
ATG (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +1.80%E +0.379%K +0.480%G +0.009%3.7%2026-04-12 21:59
Svenska Spel1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +1.80%E +0.379%K +0.480%G +0.009%3.7%2026-04-12 22:00
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +1.80%E +0.379%K +0.480%G +0.009%4.4%2026-04-12 22:00
FanDuel1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +0.728%E +0.155%K +0.197%G +0.001%3.9%2026-04-12 22:00
1xBet1.24I 80.65%NM 78.91%EV -2.57%E -2.08%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 21.09%EV -0.558%E -0.120%K -0.153%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-12 21:45
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 21:53
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 21:55
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:00
TABtouch1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:00
Unibet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:00
betPARX1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:00
Bally Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:00
BetMGM1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 21:55
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 21:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:00
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:00
Virgin Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:00
LiveScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:00
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 78.76%EV -3.36%E -2.73%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.24%EV -2.27%E -0.498%K -0.638%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 21:55
Winamax (DE)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.36%E -2.73%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 21:55
ReBet1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.36%E -2.73%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 21:54
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 21:55
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 22:00
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 21:49
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 21:49
GTbets1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 22:00
Betr (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 21:50
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 21:54
BetAnything1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 20:59
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 20:59
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 21:54
Hard Rock Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 22:05
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 21:59
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.50%E -5.47%K -34.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 21:59
Unibet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -3.36%E -2.73%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -4.63%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-12 21:55
Marathon Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -4.63%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 21:40
Codere (IT)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 21:54
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 22:04
Dabble (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 22:05
MyBookie.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 21:55
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 21:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 21:55
PMU (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.29%E -6.18%K -40.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 22:00
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.20%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 21:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.20%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 21:34
Pinnacle1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.57%E -2.08%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -7.85%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 22:05
Bet Right1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -7.85%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 22:00
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -7.85%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 22:05
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -7.85%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 22:05
LeoVegas1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90%EV -9.65%E -8.39%K -64.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -7.85%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 22:00
Fliff1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.36%E -2.73%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -8.92%E -2.10%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 22:00
Bovada1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.36%E -2.73%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:05
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 21:35
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 21:35
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 21:35
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 21:50
Winamax (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 21:55
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -12.13%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 21:54
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -12.13%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 21:59
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -7.29%E -6.18%K -40.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 22:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.24I 80.65%NM 80.59%5.15I 19.42%NM 19.41%0.1%2026-04-12 21:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-04-12 22:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-04-12 22:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-04-12 22:05
ProphetX1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-04-12 22:05
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-04-12 22:00
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 78.75%4.67I 21.41%NM 21.25%0.8%2026-04-12 22:05
Polymarket1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.0%2026-04-12 22:00
Kalshi1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%2.0%2026-04-12 21:50
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%2.9%2026-04-12 22:05