语言:简体中文
Miami Heat v Atlanta Hawks
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Miami Heat (主队)
预测 78.57%1.27公平赔率
EV -2.57%
优势 -2.08%
Kelly -10.73%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.24
博彩公司预测分布
77.07%78.57%78.67%80.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.151.211.221.2486.96%82.52%81.97%80.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
Atlanta Hawks (客队)
预测 21.43%4.67公平赔率
EV +7.16%
优势 +1.43%
Kelly +1.79%
增长率 +0.128%
假设最高赔率为 5.00
博彩公司预测分布
19.09%21.43%21.33%22.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.474.505.0025.00%22.36%22.22%20.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Miami Heat (主队)：78.57%；Atlanta Hawks (客队)：21.43%。 对于“Atlanta Hawks (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.67。 当时有8家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.00，对应+7.16%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -7.29%E -6.18%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +7.16%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.128% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -7.29%E -6.18%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +2.87%E +0.598%K +0.755%G +0.022% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +1.80%E +0.379%K +0.480%G +0.009% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +1.80%E +0.379%K +0.480%G +0.009% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +1.80%E +0.379%K +0.480%G +0.009% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +1.80%E +0.379%K +0.480%G +0.009% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +1.80%E +0.379%K +0.480%G +0.009% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +0.728%E +0.155%K +0.197%G +0.001% | 3.9% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.91%EV -2.57%E -2.08%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 21.09%EV -0.558%E -0.120%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-12 21:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 21:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 21:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 21:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.76%EV -3.36%E -2.73%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.56I 21.93%NM 21.24%EV -2.27%E -0.498%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-12 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.36%E -2.73%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-12 21:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.36%E -2.73%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-12 21:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 21:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 21:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 21:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 21:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 20:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 20:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 21:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.50%E -5.47%K -34.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -3.36%E -2.73%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -4.63%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-12 21:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -4.63%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 21:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 21:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 22:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 21:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 21:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.29%E -6.18%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.20%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 21:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.20%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 21:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.57%E -2.08%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -7.85%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -7.85%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -7.85%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -7.85%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90%EV -9.65%E -8.39%K -64.31%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -7.85%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.36%E -2.73%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -8.92%E -2.10%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.36%E -2.73%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 21:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 21:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 21:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 21:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -12.13%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 21:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -12.13%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -7.29%E -6.18%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-12 22:04 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (10)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.59% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 19.41% | 0.1% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.75% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 21.25% | 0.8% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.0% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 2.0% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60% | 2.9% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |