A Escola das Odds

Miami Heat v Atlanta Hawks

Início: 2026-04-12 22:10 UTC

Final: Miami Heat 143–117 Atlanta Hawks

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Miami Heat (Local)

Previsão 78.57%1.27odd justa
EV -2.57%
Vantagem -2.08%
Kelly -10.73%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.24

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
77.07%78.57%78.67%80.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.151.211.221.2486.96%82.52%81.97%80.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Atlanta Hawks (Visitante)

Previsão 21.43%4.67odd justa
EV +7.16%
Vantagem +1.43%
Kelly +1.79%
Crescimento +0.128%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.09%21.43%21.33%22.93%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.474.505.0025.00%22.36%22.22%20.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -7.29%E -6.18%K -40.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +7.16%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.128%4.7%2026-04-12 21:50
theScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -7.29%E -6.18%K -40.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +2.87%E +0.598%K +0.755%G +0.022%5.6%2026-04-12 22:00
Unibet (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +1.80%E +0.379%K +0.480%G +0.009%3.7%2026-04-12 21:59
Unibet (NL)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +1.80%E +0.379%K +0.480%G +0.009%3.7%2026-04-12 21:59
ATG (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +1.80%E +0.379%K +0.480%G +0.009%3.7%2026-04-12 21:59
Svenska Spel1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +1.80%E +0.379%K +0.480%G +0.009%3.7%2026-04-12 22:00
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +1.80%E +0.379%K +0.480%G +0.009%4.4%2026-04-12 22:00
FanDuel1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +0.728%E +0.155%K +0.197%G +0.001%3.9%2026-04-12 22:00
1xBet1.24I 80.65%NM 78.91%EV -2.57%E -2.08%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 21.09%EV -0.558%E -0.120%K -0.153%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-12 21:45
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 21:53
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 21:55
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:00
TABtouch1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:00
Unibet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:00
betPARX1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:00
Bally Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:00
BetMGM1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 21:55
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 21:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:00
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:00
Virgin Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:00
LiveScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.42%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:00
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 78.76%EV -3.36%E -2.73%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.24%EV -2.27%E -0.498%K -0.638%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 21:55
Winamax (DE)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.36%E -2.73%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 21:55
ReBet1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.36%E -2.73%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 21:54
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 21:55
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 22:00
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 21:49
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 21:49
GTbets1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 22:00
Betr (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 21:50
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 21:54
BetAnything1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 20:59
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 20:59
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 21:54
Hard Rock Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 22:05
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 21:59
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.50%E -5.47%K -34.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -3.56%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 21:59
Unibet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -3.36%E -2.73%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -4.63%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-12 21:55
Marathon Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -4.63%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 21:40
Codere (IT)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 21:54
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 22:04
Dabble (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 22:05
MyBookie.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 21:55
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 21:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 21:55
PMU (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.29%E -6.18%K -40.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 22:00
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.20%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 21:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.72%E -4.76%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.20%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 21:34
Pinnacle1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.57%E -2.08%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -7.85%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 22:05
Bet Right1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -7.85%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 22:00
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -7.85%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 22:05
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -7.85%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 22:05
LeoVegas1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90%EV -9.65%E -8.39%K -64.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -7.85%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 22:00
Fliff1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.36%E -2.73%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -8.92%E -2.10%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 22:00
Bovada1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.36%E -2.73%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:05
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 21:35
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 21:35
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 21:35
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 21:50
Winamax (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.93%E -4.08%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 21:55
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -12.13%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 21:54
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.15%E -3.40%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -12.13%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 21:59
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -7.29%E -6.18%K -40.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 22:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.24I 80.65%NM 80.59%5.15I 19.42%NM 19.41%0.1%2026-04-12 21:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-04-12 22:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-04-12 22:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-04-12 22:05
ProphetX1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-04-12 22:05
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-04-12 22:00
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 78.75%4.67I 21.41%NM 21.25%0.8%2026-04-12 22:05
Polymarket1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.0%2026-04-12 22:00
Kalshi1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%2.0%2026-04-12 21:50
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%2.9%2026-04-12 22:05