Language:English
Philadelphia Phillies v Houston Astros
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Prediction 58.28%1.72fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.896%
Kelly -2.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%58.26%58.23%59.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.651.651.6963.29%60.73%60.61%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Houston Astros (Visit)
Prediction 41.72%2.40fair odd
EV -0.279%
Edge -0.117%
Kelly -0.201%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.20%41.74%41.77%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.272.272.3946.51%43.98%44.05%41.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 58.28%; Houston Astros (Visit): 41.72%. For Houston Astros (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.40. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.39, with an expected value of -0.279%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.51%E -0.896%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.51%E -0.896%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -1.51%E -0.896%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -3.62%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -1.51%E -0.896%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -3.62%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -1.51%E -0.896%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.10%E -1.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.10%E -1.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.10%E -1.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.10%E -1.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.10%E -1.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.11%E -0.470%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -5.29%E -2.33%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 13:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -3.26%E -1.97%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -0.279%E -0.117%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-09 12:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.26%E -1.97%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 13:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 11:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 15:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 14:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -3.62%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -4.45%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 13:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.29%E -2.33%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.29%E -2.33%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.01%E -3.07%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.95%E -0.829%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-08 18:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.01%E -3.07%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 13:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.01%E -3.07%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.29%E -2.33%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.01%E -3.07%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.29%E -2.33%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 13:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 14:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 02:23 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.20%E -1.38%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 12:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 13:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -10.29%E -4.79%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.92%E -5.02%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -1.95%E -0.829%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.84% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 41.16% | -0.0% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92% | 0.2% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22% | 0.7% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-09-09 13:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-09-09 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 2.3% | 2026-09-09 15:45 |