Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Phillies v Houston Astros

2026-09-09 22:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prediction 59.08%1.69fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.805%
Kelly -2.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.23%59.04%59.08%59.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.611.611.6764.94%62.00%62.11%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Astros (Visit)

Prediction 40.92%2.44fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -0.916%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.30%40.96%40.92%41.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.322.332.3945.45%43.04%42.92%41.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 59.08%; Houston Astros (Visit): 40.92%. For Philadelphia Phillies (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.69. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.67, with an expected value of -1.34%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -1.34%E -0.805%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -2.60%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-08 18:20
GTbets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.94%E -1.17%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.19%E -0.916%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-08 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -1.94%E -1.17%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -2.60%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-08 18:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -1.94%E -1.17%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -2.60%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-08 18:34
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.53%E -1.53%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-08 18:40
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.53%E -1.53%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-08 18:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 18:15
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 18:29
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.42%E -1.45%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-08 18:10
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -4.24%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 19:45
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 18:15
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 18:29
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 19:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.89%E -3.04%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 19:14
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.89%E -3.04%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 19:45
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.89%E -3.04%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.24%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 18:20
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.89%E -3.04%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.64%E -1.99%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 19:45
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.89%E -3.04%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.64%E -1.99%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.48%E -3.42%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.01%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 19:45
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.48%E -3.42%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.01%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 19:44
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.48%E -3.42%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 18:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.48%E -3.42%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.48%E -3.42%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 18:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.48%E -3.42%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.64%E -1.99%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 18:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -5.48%E -3.42%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -5.46%E -2.37%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 18:13
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.48%E -3.42%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 18:09
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.48%E -3.42%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 18:13
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.48%E -3.42%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 18:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.48%E -3.42%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 18:29
SportsBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.23%EV -6.07%E -3.82%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.77%EV -5.46%E -2.37%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 18:09
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.25%E -4.62%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 18:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.97%E -4.53%K -8.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-08 18:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -9.02%E -5.86%K -16.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.97%E -4.53%K -8.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-08 18:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12%1.0%2026-09-08 20:05
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-09-08 18:10
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-09-08 19:30
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%10.0%2026-09-08 18:15