语言:简体中文
Philadelphia Phillies v Houston Astros
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Philadelphia Phillies (主队)
预测 58.28%1.72公平赔率
EV -1.51%
优势 -0.896%
Kelly -2.19%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.69
博彩公司预测分布
56.85%58.26%58.23%59.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.581.651.651.6963.29%60.73%60.61%59.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
Houston Astros (客队)
预测 41.72%2.40公平赔率
EV -0.279%
优势 -0.117%
Kelly -0.201%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.39
博彩公司预测分布
40.20%41.74%41.77%43.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.272.272.3946.51%43.98%44.05%41.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Philadelphia Phillies (主队)：58.28%；Houston Astros (客队)：41.72%。 对于“Houston Astros (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.40。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.39，期望值为-0.279%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.51%E -0.896%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.51%E -0.896%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -1.51%E -0.896%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -3.62%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -1.51%E -0.896%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -3.62%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -1.51%E -0.896%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.10%E -1.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.10%E -1.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.10%E -1.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.10%E -1.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.10%E -1.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.11%E -0.470%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -5.29%E -2.33%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 13:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -3.26%E -1.97%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -0.279%E -0.117%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-09 12:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.26%E -1.97%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 13:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 11:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 15:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 14:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -3.62%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -4.45%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 13:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.29%E -2.33%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.29%E -2.33%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.01%E -3.07%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.95%E -0.829%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-08 18:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.01%E -3.07%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 13:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.01%E -3.07%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.29%E -2.33%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.01%E -3.07%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.29%E -2.33%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 13:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 14:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 02:23 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.20%E -1.38%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 12:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 13:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -10.29%E -4.79%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.92%E -5.02%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -1.95%E -0.829%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (10)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.84% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 41.16% | -0.0% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92% | 0.2% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22% | 0.7% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-09-09 13:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-09-09 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 2.3% | 2026-09-09 15:45 |