Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Philadelphia Phillies v Houston Astros

Início: 2026-09-09 22:41 UTC

Final: Philadelphia Phillies 11–7 Houston Astros

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Previsão 58.28%1.72odd justa
EV -1.51%
Vantagem -0.896%
Kelly -2.19%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.85%58.26%58.23%59.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.581.651.651.6963.29%60.73%60.61%59.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Previsão 41.72%2.40odd justa
EV -0.279%
Vantagem -0.117%
Kelly -0.201%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.39

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.20%41.74%41.77%43.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.272.272.3946.51%43.98%44.05%41.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 58.28%; Houston Astros (Visitante): 41.72%. Para Houston Astros (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.40. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.39, com valor esperado de -0.279%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.51%E -0.896%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-09 13:30
Everygame🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.51%E -0.896%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-09 13:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -1.51%E -0.896%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -3.62%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-09 13:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -1.51%E -0.896%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -3.62%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-09 13:30
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -1.51%E -0.896%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-09 17:35
BetAnything🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.10%E -1.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-09 16:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.10%E -1.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.10%E -1.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 14:55
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.10%E -1.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 14:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.10%E -1.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 14:55
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.11%E -0.470%K -0.813%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-09 17:40
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-09 13:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -5.29%E -2.33%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 17:40
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 13:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 13:30
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 16:40
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 16:40
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 16:40
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 16:40
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 14:25
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -3.26%E -1.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -0.279%E -0.117%K -0.201%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-09 12:25
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.26%E -1.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 17:10
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 13:30
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 13:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 17:05
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 13:40
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 11:29
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 13:30
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 15:44
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 14:25
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 14:30
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 14:25
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -3.62%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 17:25
DraftKings🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -4.45%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 13:25
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.29%E -2.33%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 13:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.29%E -2.33%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 13:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 17:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.01%E -3.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.95%E -0.829%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 18:15
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.01%E -3.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 13:45
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.01%E -3.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.29%E -2.33%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 13:30
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.01%E -3.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.29%E -2.33%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 13:30
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 13:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 13:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 13:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 13:30
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 13:45
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 14:40
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 13:30
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 02:23
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 16:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 13:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 13:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 13:30
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 13:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.20%E -1.38%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 12:20
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 17:05
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 13:30
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 13:29
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -10.29%E -4.79%K -8.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 17:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 13:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.92%E -5.02%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -1.95%E -0.829%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 17:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.84%2.43I 41.15%NM 41.16%-0.0%2026-09-09 17:35
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-09-09 13:30
Matchbook◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-09-09 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-09-09 17:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-09-09 17:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-09-09 17:10
Novig◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78%2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22%0.7%2026-09-09 14:35
Polymarket◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-09-09 13:25
ProphetX◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-09-09 16:55
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-09-09 15:45