النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Philadelphia Phillies v Houston Astros

البداية: 2026-09-09 22:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Philadelphia Phillies 11–7 Houston Astros

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

66 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Philadelphia Phillies (المضيف)

التنبؤ 58.28%1.72السعر العادل
EV -1.51%
الأفضلية -0.896%
Kelly -2.19%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.69

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.85%58.26%58.23%59.80%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.581.651.651.6963.29%60.73%60.61%59.17%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

Houston Astros (الضيف)

التنبؤ 41.72%2.40السعر العادل
EV -0.279%
الأفضلية -0.117%
Kelly -0.201%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.39

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.20%41.74%41.77%43.15%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.152.272.272.3946.51%43.98%44.05%41.84%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

وفق آخر الأسعار قبل البداية، قدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ احتمالات سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩ كالآتي: ⁨Philadelphia Phillies (المضيف)⁩: ⁨58.28%⁩؛ ⁨Houston Astros (الضيف)⁩: ⁨41.72%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨Houston Astros (الضيف)⁩، كان هذا التقدير يعادل سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨2.40⁩. لم تعرض أي شركة مراهنات مؤهلة سعر إغلاق أعلى من ذلك المستوى: كان أفضل سعر ⁨2.39⁩، بقيمة متوقعة قدرها ⁨-0.279%⁩؛ ولم ينتج قيمة متوقعة موجبة.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (66 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.51%E -0.896%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-09 13:30
Everygame🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.51%E -0.896%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-09 13:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -1.51%E -0.896%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -3.62%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-09 13:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -1.51%E -0.896%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -3.62%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-09 13:30
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -1.51%E -0.896%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-09 17:35
BetAnything🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.10%E -1.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-09 16:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.10%E -1.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.10%E -1.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 14:55
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.10%E -1.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 14:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.10%E -1.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 14:55
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.11%E -0.470%K -0.813%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-09 17:40
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-09 13:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -5.29%E -2.33%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 17:40
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 13:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 13:30
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 16:40
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 16:40
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 16:40
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 16:40
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 14:25
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -3.26%E -1.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -0.279%E -0.117%K -0.201%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-09 12:25
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.26%E -1.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 17:10
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 13:30
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 13:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 17:05
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 13:40
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 11:29
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 13:30
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 15:44
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 14:25
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 14:30
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 14:25
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -3.62%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 17:25
DraftKings🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -4.45%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 13:25
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.29%E -2.33%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 13:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.29%E -2.33%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 13:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 17:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.01%E -3.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.95%E -0.829%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 18:15
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.01%E -3.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 13:45
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.01%E -3.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.29%E -2.33%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 13:30
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.01%E -3.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.29%E -2.33%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 13:30
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 13:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 13:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 13:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 13:30
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 13:45
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 14:40
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 13:30
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 02:23
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 16:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 13:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 13:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 13:30
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 13:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.20%E -1.38%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 12:20
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 17:05
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 13:30
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 13:29
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -10.29%E -4.79%K -8.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 17:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 13:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.92%E -5.02%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -1.95%E -0.829%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 17:25
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.84%2.43I 41.15%NM 41.16%-0.0%2026-09-09 17:35
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-09-09 13:30
Matchbook◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-09-09 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-09-09 17:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-09-09 17:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-09-09 17:10
Novig◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78%2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22%0.7%2026-09-09 14:35
Polymarket◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-09-09 13:25
ProphetX◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-09-09 16:55
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-09-09 15:45