Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Philadelphia Phillies v Houston Astros

Początek: 2026-09-09 22:41 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Philadelphia Phillies 11–7 Houston Astros

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

66 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Philadelphia Phillies (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 58.28%1.72kurs godziwy
EV -1.51%
Przewaga -0.896%
Kelly -2.19%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.69

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
56.85%58.26%58.23%59.80%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.581.651.651.6963.29%60.73%60.61%59.17%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Houston Astros (Goście)

Prognoza 41.72%2.40kurs godziwy
EV -0.279%
Przewaga -0.117%
Kelly -0.201%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.39

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
40.20%41.74%41.77%43.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.152.272.272.3946.51%43.98%44.05%41.84%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Philadelphia Phillies (Gospodarze): 58.28%; Houston Astros (Goście): 41.72%. Dla wyniku Houston Astros (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.40. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 2.39, przy wartości oczekiwanej -0.279%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.

Kursy bukmacherskie (66 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.51%E -0.896%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-09 13:30
Everygame🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.51%E -0.896%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-09 13:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -1.51%E -0.896%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -3.62%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-09 13:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -1.51%E -0.896%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -3.62%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-09 13:30
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -1.51%E -0.896%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-09 17:35
BetAnything🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.10%E -1.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-09 16:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.10%E -1.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.10%E -1.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 14:55
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.10%E -1.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 14:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.10%E -1.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 14:55
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.11%E -0.470%K -0.813%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-09 17:40
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-09 13:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -5.29%E -2.33%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 17:40
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 13:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 13:30
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 16:40
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 16:40
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 16:40
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 16:40
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 14:25
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -3.26%E -1.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -0.279%E -0.117%K -0.201%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-09 12:25
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.26%E -1.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 17:10
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 13:30
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 13:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 17:05
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 13:40
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 11:29
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 13:30
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 15:44
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 14:25
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 14:30
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 14:25
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -3.62%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 17:25
DraftKings🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -4.45%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 13:25
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.29%E -2.33%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 13:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.29%E -2.33%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 13:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 17:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.01%E -3.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.95%E -0.829%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 18:15
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.01%E -3.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 13:45
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.01%E -3.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.29%E -2.33%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 13:30
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.01%E -3.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.29%E -2.33%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 13:30
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 13:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 13:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 13:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 13:30
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 13:45
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 14:40
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 13:30
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 02:23
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 16:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 13:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 13:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 13:30
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 13:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.20%E -1.38%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 12:20
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 17:05
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 13:30
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 13:29
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -10.29%E -4.79%K -8.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 17:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 13:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.92%E -5.02%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -1.95%E -0.829%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 17:25
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (10)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
BetOpenly◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.84%2.43I 41.15%NM 41.16%-0.0%2026-09-09 17:35
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-09-09 13:30
Matchbook◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-09-09 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-09-09 17:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-09-09 17:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-09-09 17:10
Novig◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78%2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22%0.7%2026-09-09 14:35
Polymarket◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-09-09 13:25
ProphetX◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-09-09 16:55
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-09-09 15:45