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Philadelphia Phillies v Houston Astros
Resultado del partido
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Predicción 59.10%1.69momio equitativo
EV -1.30%
Ventaja -0.778%
Kelly -1.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.23%59.07%59.09%59.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.541.611.611.6764.94%61.96%62.11%59.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Houston Astros (Visitante)
Predicción 40.90%2.45momio equitativo
EV -0.620%
Ventaja -0.255%
Kelly -0.433%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.30%40.93%40.91%41.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.332.332.4345.45%42.99%42.92%41.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 59.10%; Houston Astros (Visitante): 40.90%. Para Houston Astros (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.45. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.43, con un valor esperado de -0.620%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -1.30%E -0.778%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -2.66%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-08 18:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.89%E -1.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.26%E -0.944%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -1.89%E -1.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -2.66%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-08 18:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -1.89%E -1.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -2.66%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-08 18:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -2.48%E -1.50%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV -0.620%E -0.255%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-09-08 20:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.48%E -1.50%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.48%E -1.50%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.66%E -2.25%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-08 18:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.66%E -2.25%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-08 18:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.48%E -1.48%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -4.30%E -1.84%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-08 19:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 18:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 18:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 19:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 19:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 19:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.30%E -1.84%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-08 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.71%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 19:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.71%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.07%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 19:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.07%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 19:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 18:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.71%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 18:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -5.53%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-08 18:13 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 18:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 18:13 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 18:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 18:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.23%EV -6.03%E -3.79%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.77%EV -5.53%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 18:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-08 18:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -8.39%E -5.41%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.03%E -4.56%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-08 18:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -8.98%E -5.83%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.03%E -4.56%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-09-08 19:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 20:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33% | 10.0% | 2026-09-08 18:15 |