Idioma:Español
Philadelphia Phillies v Houston Astros
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Predicción 58.28%1.72momio equitativo
EV -1.51%
Ventaja -0.896%
Kelly -2.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.85%58.26%58.23%59.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.581.651.651.6963.29%60.73%60.61%59.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Houston Astros (Visitante)
Predicción 41.72%2.40momio equitativo
EV -0.279%
Ventaja -0.117%
Kelly -0.201%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.39
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.20%41.74%41.77%43.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.272.272.3946.51%43.98%44.05%41.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 58.28%; Houston Astros (Visitante): 41.72%. Para Houston Astros (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.40. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.39, con un valor esperado de -0.279%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.51%E -0.896%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.51%E -0.896%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -1.51%E -0.896%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -3.62%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -1.51%E -0.896%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -3.62%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -1.51%E -0.896%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.10%E -1.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.10%E -1.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.10%E -1.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.10%E -1.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.10%E -1.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.11%E -0.470%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -5.29%E -2.33%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 13:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -3.26%E -1.97%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -0.279%E -0.117%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-09 12:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.26%E -1.97%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.95%E -3.12%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 13:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 11:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 15:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 14:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -3.62%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -4.45%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 13:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.29%E -2.33%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.29%E -2.33%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.01%E -3.07%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.95%E -0.829%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-08 18:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.01%E -3.07%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 13:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.01%E -3.07%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.29%E -2.33%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.01%E -3.07%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.29%E -2.33%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 13:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 14:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 02:23 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.20%E -1.38%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 12:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 13:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -10.29%E -4.79%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.92%E -5.02%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -1.95%E -0.829%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.84% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 41.16% | -0.0% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92% | 0.2% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22% | 0.7% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-09-09 13:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-09-09 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 2.3% | 2026-09-09 15:45 |