Language:English
New York Mets v Washington Nationals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Mets (Local)
Prediction 56.03%1.78fair odd
EV -0.830%
Edge -0.469%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.69%56.08%55.95%57.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.701.701.7762.11%58.80%58.82%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Nationals (Visit)
Prediction 43.97%2.27fair odd
EV -1.06%
Edge -0.473%
Kelly -0.851%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.82%43.92%44.05%45.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.182.182.2547.62%45.84%45.87%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Mets (Local): 56.03%; Washington Nationals (Visit): 43.97%. For New York Mets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.78. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.77, with an expected value of -0.830%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -0.830%E -0.469%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 19:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -1.50%E -0.671%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.38%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.38%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-15 20:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.38%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-15 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.51%E -1.44%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.06%E -0.473%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.51%E -1.44%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.06%E -0.473%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-15 16:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -2.51%E -1.44%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-15 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.51%E -1.44%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 02:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.51%E -1.44%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.02%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 19:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 19:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 19:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -1.06%E -0.473%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -1.06%E -0.473%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -1.06%E -0.473%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 12:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 11:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.06%E -0.473%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 20:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.58%E -2.11%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 20:08 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 20:08 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 20:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 17:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 20:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.99%E -4.21%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -6.99%E -4.21%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 19:58 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 19:58 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 20:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -9.79%E -6.08%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -5.90%E -2.76%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 20:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14% | 1.7% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 19:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72% | 2.1% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-08-15 19:55 |