Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

New York Mets v Washington Nationals

Inizio: 2026-08-15 20:11 UTC

Finale: New York Mets 5–4 Washington Nationals

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

63 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

New York Mets (Casa)

Previsione 56.03%1.78quota equa
EV -0.830%
Vantaggio -0.469%
Kelly -1.08%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.77

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.69%56.08%55.95%57.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.611.701.701.7762.11%58.80%58.82%56.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Washington Nationals (Trasferta)

Previsione 43.97%2.27quota equa
EV -1.06%
Vantaggio -0.473%
Kelly -0.851%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.82%43.92%44.05%45.31%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.182.182.2547.62%45.84%45.87%44.44%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: New York Mets (Casa): 56.03%; Washington Nationals (Trasferta): 43.97%. Per New York Mets (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.78. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 1.77, con un valore atteso del -0.830%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -0.830%E -0.469%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-15 19:49
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -1.50%E -0.671%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-15 20:10
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.38%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-15 09:44
BetUS🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.38%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-15 20:09
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.38%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-15 20:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-15 20:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-15 20:10
BetAnything🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 20:10
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.51%E -1.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.06%E -0.473%K -0.851%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-15 13:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.51%E -1.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.06%E -0.473%K -0.851%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-15 16:24
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -2.51%E -1.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-15 16:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.51%E -1.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 02:49
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.51%E -1.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.02%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 19:44
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 19:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 19:39
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 19:44
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 20:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 20:04
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 18:04
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 19:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 18:04
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 19:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 18:04
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 19:44
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 13:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -1.06%E -0.473%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 20:05
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -1.06%E -0.473%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 20:05
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -1.06%E -0.473%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 20:10
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 12:44
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 20:05
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 18:04
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.06%E -0.473%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-15 20:10
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 20:09
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.58%E -2.11%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 20:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 20:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 20:05
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 20:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 20:05
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 20:08
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 20:08
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 20:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 20:00
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 20:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 20:05
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 20:05
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 20:04
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 17:44
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 20:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 20:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.99%E -4.21%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 20:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -6.99%E -4.21%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 20:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 20:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 20:05
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 19:58
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 19:58
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 20:09
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -9.79%E -6.08%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -5.90%E -2.76%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 20:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-08-15 20:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-08-15 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-08-15 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-08-15 20:10
ProphetX◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-08-15 20:10
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-15 13:44
Matchbook◎1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.7%2026-08-15 20:10
BetOpenly◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%2.0%2026-08-15 19:54
Smarkets◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%2.1%2026-08-15 20:10
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-08-15 19:55