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New York Mets v Washington Nationals
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
New York Mets (Local)
Predicción 56.03%1.78momio equitativo
EV -0.830%
Ventaja -0.469%
Kelly -1.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.69%56.08%55.95%57.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.611.701.701.7762.11%58.80%58.82%56.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Washington Nationals (Visitante)
Predicción 43.97%2.27momio equitativo
EV -1.06%
Ventaja -0.473%
Kelly -0.851%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.82%43.92%44.05%45.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.182.182.2547.62%45.84%45.87%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: New York Mets (Local): 56.03%; Washington Nationals (Visitante): 43.97%. Para New York Mets (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.78. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.77, con un valor esperado de -0.830%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -0.830%E -0.469%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 19:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -1.50%E -0.671%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.38%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.38%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-15 20:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.38%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-15 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.51%E -1.44%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.06%E -0.473%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.51%E -1.44%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.06%E -0.473%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-15 16:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -2.51%E -1.44%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-15 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.51%E -1.44%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 02:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.51%E -1.44%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.02%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 19:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 19:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 19:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -1.06%E -0.473%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -1.06%E -0.473%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -1.06%E -0.473%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 12:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 11:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.06%E -0.473%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 20:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.58%E -2.11%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 20:08 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 20:08 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 20:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 17:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 20:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.99%E -4.21%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -6.99%E -4.21%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 19:58 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 19:58 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 20:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -9.79%E -6.08%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -5.90%E -2.76%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 20:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14% | 1.7% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 19:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72% | 2.1% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-08-15 19:55 |