默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

New York Mets v Washington Nationals

开赛时间: 2026-08-15 20:11 UTC

最终结果: New York Mets 5–4 Washington Nationals

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

63 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

New York Mets (主队)

预测 56.03%1.78公平赔率
EV -0.830%
优势 -0.469%
Kelly -1.08%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.77

博彩公司预测分布
54.69%56.08%55.95%57.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.611.701.701.7762.11%58.80%58.82%56.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

Washington Nationals (客队)

预测 43.97%2.27公平赔率
EV -1.06%
优势 -0.473%
Kelly -0.851%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.25

博彩公司预测分布
42.82%43.92%44.05%45.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.182.182.2547.62%45.84%45.87%44.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:New York Mets (主队):56.03%;Washington Nationals (客队):43.97%。 对于“New York Mets (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.78。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为1.77,期望值为-0.830%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -0.830%E -0.469%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-15 19:49
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -1.50%E -0.671%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-15 20:10
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.38%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-15 09:44
BetUS🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.38%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-15 20:09
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.38%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-15 20:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-15 20:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-15 20:10
BetAnything🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 20:10
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.51%E -1.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.06%E -0.473%K -0.851%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-15 13:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.51%E -1.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.06%E -0.473%K -0.851%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-15 16:24
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -2.51%E -1.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-15 16:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.51%E -1.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 02:49
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.51%E -1.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.02%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 19:44
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 19:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 19:39
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 19:44
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 20:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 20:04
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 18:04
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 19:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 18:04
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 19:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 18:04
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 19:44
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 13:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -1.06%E -0.473%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 20:05
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -1.06%E -0.473%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 20:05
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -1.06%E -0.473%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 20:10
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 12:44
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 20:05
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 18:04
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.06%E -0.473%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-15 20:10
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 20:09
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.58%E -2.11%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 20:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 20:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 20:05
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 20:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 20:05
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 20:08
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 20:08
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 20:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 20:00
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 20:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 20:05
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 20:05
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 20:04
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 17:44
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 20:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 20:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.99%E -4.21%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 20:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -6.99%E -4.21%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 20:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 20:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 20:05
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 19:58
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 19:58
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 20:09
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -9.79%E -6.08%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -5.90%E -2.76%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 20:05
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-08-15 20:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-08-15 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-08-15 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-08-15 20:10
ProphetX◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-08-15 20:10
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-15 13:44
Matchbook◎1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.7%2026-08-15 20:10
BetOpenly◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%2.0%2026-08-15 19:54
Smarkets◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%2.1%2026-08-15 20:10
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-08-15 19:55