Język:Polski
New York Mets v Washington Nationals
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
New York Mets (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 56.03%1.78kurs godziwy
EV -0.830%
Przewaga -0.469%
Kelly -1.08%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.77
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
54.69%56.08%55.95%57.18%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.611.701.701.7762.11%58.80%58.82%56.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Washington Nationals (Goście)
Prognoza 43.97%2.27kurs godziwy
EV -1.06%
Przewaga -0.473%
Kelly -0.851%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.25
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
42.82%43.92%44.05%45.31%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.102.182.182.2547.62%45.84%45.87%44.44%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: New York Mets (Gospodarze): 56.03%; Washington Nationals (Goście): 43.97%. Dla wyniku New York Mets (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 1.78. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 1.77, przy wartości oczekiwanej -0.830%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.
Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -0.830%E -0.469%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 19:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -1.50%E -0.671%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.38%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.38%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-15 20:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.38%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-15 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.51%E -1.44%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.06%E -0.473%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.51%E -1.44%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.06%E -0.473%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-15 16:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -2.51%E -1.44%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-15 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.51%E -1.44%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 02:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.51%E -1.44%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.02%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 19:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 19:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 19:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -1.06%E -0.473%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -1.06%E -0.473%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -1.06%E -0.473%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 12:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 11:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.06%E -0.473%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 20:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.58%E -2.11%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 20:08 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 20:08 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.87%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 20:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.94%E -0.871%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 17:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 20:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.99%E -4.21%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -6.99%E -4.21%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 19:58 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 19:58 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 20:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -9.79%E -6.08%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -5.90%E -2.76%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (10)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 20:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14% | 1.7% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 19:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72% | 2.1% | 2026-08-15 20:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-08-15 19:55 |