Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Mets v Miami Marlins

2026-08-02 17:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Mets (Local)

Prediction 47.92%2.09fair odd
EV -0.323%
Edge -0.155%
Kelly -0.299%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%47.93%48.00%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.981.982.0853.48%50.57%50.51%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Miami Marlins (Visit)

Prediction 52.08%1.92fair odd
EV -0.531%
Edge -0.278%
Kelly -0.583%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.07%52.00%53.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.841.841.9156.18%54.25%54.35%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: New York Mets (Local): 47.92%; Miami Marlins (Visit): 52.08%. For New York Mets (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.08, with an expected value of -0.323%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%EV -0.323%E -0.155%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%EV -3.13%E -1.69%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-02 01:00
GTbets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -0.323%E -0.155%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-02 01:30
BetOnline.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -0.802%E -0.387%K -0.749%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-02 01:30
LowVig.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -0.802%E -0.387%K -0.749%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-02 01:30
BetUS2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -0.802%E -0.387%K -0.749%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-02 01:40
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.76%E -0.859%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.61%E -1.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-02 01:29
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.76%E -0.859%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 01:30
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.76%E -0.859%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 01:29
Bovada2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -2.72%E -1.34%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.74%E -3.17%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 00:59
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -3.20%E -1.58%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -1.05%E -0.553%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-02 01:10
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV -3.20%E -1.58%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -2.09%E -1.11%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-02 01:05
MyBookie.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 01:33
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 01:29
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:29
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:30
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:30
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:25
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 01:05
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 20:40
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 01:30
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 01:30
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 01:30
DraftKings1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.64%E -2.33%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 01:29
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.18%E -2.27%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 01:30
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 01:28
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 01:29
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 01:30
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 01:30
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 01:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 01:25
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.22%E -2.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 01:30
Betr (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.59%E -2.84%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.18%E -2.27%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 01:30
Coolbet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.07%E -3.10%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 23:44
Marathon Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.07%E -3.10%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.18%E -2.27%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 01:04
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.07%E -3.10%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.22%E -2.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 01:29
BetRivers1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.09%E -1.11%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 23:34
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.09%E -1.11%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 23:35
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.09%E -1.11%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 23:34
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.09%E -1.11%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 23:34
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.61%E -1.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 01:04
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 01:14
betano_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 01:29
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 01:29
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.51%E -3.89%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.09%E -1.11%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 23:35
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.51%E -3.89%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.09%E -1.11%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.51%E -3.89%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.09%E -1.11%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 23:34
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.51%E -3.89%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.09%E -1.11%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 23:35
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.51%E -3.89%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.09%E -1.11%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 23:35
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.51%E -3.89%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.09%E -1.11%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 23:35
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.51%E -3.89%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.61%E -1.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 23:35
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.51%E -3.89%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.61%E -1.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 23:35
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.51%E -3.89%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.61%E -1.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 23:35
Dabble (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -7.99%E -4.16%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -1.05%E -0.553%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 01:30
Unibet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -7.99%E -4.16%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -7.30%E -4.10%K -9.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 01:30
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -7.99%E -4.16%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -7.30%E -4.10%K -9.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 01:30
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.47%E -4.43%K -9.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.531%E -0.278%K -0.583%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 01:44
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -8.95%E -4.71%K -9.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -2.61%E -1.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 20:55
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -10.39%E -5.55%K -11.94%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -5.74%E -3.17%K -7.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 23:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-08-02 01:29
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-01 20:45
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-01 22:50
ProphetX2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%1.7%2026-08-02 01:35
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%2.7%2026-08-02 01:15
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 48.09%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.91%9.4%2026-08-02 01:45