StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

New York Mets v Miami Marlins

2026-08-02 17:41 UTC — MLB

Direkter Vergleich

60 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

New York Mets (Heim)

Prognose 47.82%2.09faire Quote
EV -0.529%
Vorteil -0.254%
Kelly -0.490%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.08

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
47.14%47.86%47.78%49.60%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.901.992.002.0852.63%50.14%50.00%48.08%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Miami Marlins (Auswärts)

Prognose 52.18%1.92faire Quote
EV -1.91%
Vorteil -1.01%
Kelly -2.17%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.88

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
50.40%52.14%52.22%52.86%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.761.831.831.8856.82%54.68%54.64%53.19%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: New York Mets (Heim): 47.82%; Miami Marlins (Auswärts): 52.18%. Für New York Mets (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.09. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an: Die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 2.08, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.529%; sie ergibt keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (60 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%EV -0.529%E -0.254%K -0.490%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%EV -2.95%E -1.59%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-02 01:00
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.49%E -0.721%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-02 02:34
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.49%E -0.721%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-02 02:40
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.96%E -0.958%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-02 01:29
BetOnline.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.92%E -1.44%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.91%E -1.01%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-02 01:50
LowVig.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.92%E -1.44%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.91%E -1.01%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-02 01:50
BetUS2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.92%E -1.44%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.91%E -1.01%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-02 01:50
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.92%E -1.44%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.91%E -1.01%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-02 01:49
Bovada2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -2.92%E -1.44%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.56%E -3.07%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 00:59
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.40%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 01:55
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.40%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 01:55
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.40%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 01:55
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.40%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 01:55
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.40%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 02:40
MyBookie.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 01:33
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 01:29
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:29
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:50
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:30
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:49
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:30
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:25
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:54
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:54
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:54
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:55
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:55
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 01:55
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 01:55
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 01:55
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 01:54
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.56%E -3.07%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 02:34
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 01:05
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 20:40
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 01:30
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 02:40
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 01:30
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 01:30
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 02:44
DraftKings1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.83%E -2.43%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 01:29
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 01:28
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 01:59
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 01:30
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 01:30
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 01:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 01:25
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 01:30
BetAnything1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.79%E -2.94%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 01:54
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.27%E -3.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 01:29
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 01:50
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 01:14
betano_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 01:29
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 01:29
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -7.70%E -3.99%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -8.17%E -4.64%K -10.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 01:54
Dabble (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.18%E -4.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.91%E -1.01%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 02:20
Unibet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -8.18%E -4.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -7.12%E -4.00%K -9.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 01:30
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -8.18%E -4.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -7.12%E -4.00%K -9.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 01:30
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -9.14%E -4.81%K -10.15%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 20:55
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Novig2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-08-02 01:29
ProphetX2.09I 47.85%NM 47.36%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64%1.0%2026-08-02 02:30
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-01 20:45
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-01 22:50
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.6%2026-08-02 02:35
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%8.2%2026-08-02 02:45