Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

New York Mets v Miami Marlins

2026-08-02 17:41 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

New York Mets (Local)

Prévision 47.82%2.09cote équitable
EV -0.529%
Avantage -0.254%
Kelly -0.490%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.14%47.86%47.78%49.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.901.992.002.0852.63%50.14%50.00%48.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Miami Marlins (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.18%1.92cote équitable
EV -1.91%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -2.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.40%52.14%52.22%52.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.761.831.831.8856.82%54.68%54.64%53.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : New York Mets (Local) : 47.82% ; Miami Marlins (Visiteur) : 52.18%. Pour New York Mets (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.09. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 2.08, pour une espérance de -0.529% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%EV -0.529%E -0.254%K -0.490%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%EV -2.95%E -1.59%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-02 01:00
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.49%E -0.721%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-02 02:34
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.49%E -0.721%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-02 02:40
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.96%E -0.958%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-02 01:29
BetOnline.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.92%E -1.44%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.91%E -1.01%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-02 01:50
LowVig.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.92%E -1.44%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.91%E -1.01%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-02 01:50
BetUS2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.92%E -1.44%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.91%E -1.01%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-02 01:50
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.92%E -1.44%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.91%E -1.01%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-02 01:49
Bovada2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -2.92%E -1.44%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.56%E -3.07%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 00:59
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.40%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 01:55
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.40%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 01:55
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.40%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 01:55
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.40%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 01:55
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.40%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 02:40
MyBookie.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 01:33
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 01:29
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:29
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:50
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:30
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:49
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:30
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:25
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:54
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:54
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:54
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:55
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:55
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 01:55
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 01:55
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 01:55
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 01:54
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.56%E -3.07%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 02:34
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 01:05
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 20:40
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 01:30
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 02:40
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 01:30
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 01:30
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 02:44
DraftKings1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.83%E -2.43%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 01:29
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 01:28
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 01:59
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 01:30
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 01:30
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 01:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 01:25
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 01:30
BetAnything1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.79%E -2.94%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 01:54
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.27%E -3.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 01:29
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 01:50
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 01:14
betano_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 01:29
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 01:29
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -7.70%E -3.99%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -8.17%E -4.64%K -10.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 01:54
Dabble (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.18%E -4.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.91%E -1.01%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 02:20
Unibet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -8.18%E -4.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -7.12%E -4.00%K -9.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 01:30
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -8.18%E -4.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -7.12%E -4.00%K -9.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 01:30
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -9.14%E -4.81%K -10.15%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 20:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-08-02 01:29
ProphetX2.09I 47.85%NM 47.36%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64%1.0%2026-08-02 02:30
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-01 20:45
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-01 22:50
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.6%2026-08-02 02:35
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%8.2%2026-08-02 02:45