Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets v Miami Marlins

2026-08-02 17:41 UTC — MLB

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets (Local)

Previsão 47.82%2.09odd justa
EV -0.529%
Vantagem -0.254%
Kelly -0.490%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.14%47.86%47.78%49.60%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.901.992.002.0852.63%50.14%50.00%48.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Previsão 52.18%1.92odd justa
EV -1.91%
Vantagem -1.01%
Kelly -2.17%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.40%52.14%52.22%52.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.761.831.831.8856.82%54.68%54.64%53.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: New York Mets (Local): 47.82%; Miami Marlins (Visitante): 52.18%. Para New York Mets (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.09. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.08, com valor esperado de -0.529%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%EV -0.529%E -0.254%K -0.490%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%EV -2.95%E -1.59%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-02 01:00
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.49%E -0.721%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-02 02:34
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.49%E -0.721%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-02 02:40
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.96%E -0.958%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-02 01:29
BetOnline.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.92%E -1.44%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.91%E -1.01%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-02 01:50
LowVig.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.92%E -1.44%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.91%E -1.01%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-02 01:50
BetUS2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.92%E -1.44%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.91%E -1.01%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-02 01:50
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.92%E -1.44%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.91%E -1.01%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-02 01:49
Bovada2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -2.92%E -1.44%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.56%E -3.07%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 00:59
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.40%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 01:55
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.40%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 01:55
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.40%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 01:55
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.40%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 01:55
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.40%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 02:40
MyBookie.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 01:33
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 01:29
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:29
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:50
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:30
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:49
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:30
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:25
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:54
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:54
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:54
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:55
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:55
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 01:55
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 01:55
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 01:55
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 01:54
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.56%E -3.07%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 02:34
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 01:05
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 20:40
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 01:30
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 02:40
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 01:30
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 01:30
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 02:44
DraftKings1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.83%E -2.43%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 01:29
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 01:28
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 01:59
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 01:30
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 01:30
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 01:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 01:25
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 01:30
BetAnything1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.79%E -2.94%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 01:54
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.27%E -3.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 01:29
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 01:50
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 01:14
betano_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 01:29
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 01:29
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -7.70%E -3.99%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -8.17%E -4.64%K -10.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 01:54
Dabble (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.18%E -4.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.91%E -1.01%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 02:20
Unibet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -8.18%E -4.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -7.12%E -4.00%K -9.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 01:30
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -8.18%E -4.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -7.12%E -4.00%K -9.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 01:30
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -9.14%E -4.81%K -10.15%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 20:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-08-02 01:29
ProphetX2.09I 47.85%NM 47.36%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64%1.0%2026-08-02 02:30
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-01 20:45
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-01 22:50
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.6%2026-08-02 02:35
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%8.2%2026-08-02 02:45