默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

New York Mets v Miami Marlins

开赛时间: 2026-08-02 17:41 UTC

最终结果: New York Mets 0–2 Miami Marlins

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

65 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

New York Mets (主队)

预测 47.60%2.10公平赔率
EV -1.000%
优势 -0.481%
Kelly -0.926%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.08

博彩公司预测分布
46.34%47.64%47.64%49.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.922.012.002.0852.08%49.82%50.00%48.08%最小值均值中位数最大值

Miami Marlins (客队)

预测 52.40%1.91公平赔率
EV +1.14%
优势 +0.590%
Kelly +1.23%
增长率 +0.014%

假设最高赔率为 1.93

博彩公司预测分布
50.53%52.36%52.36%53.66%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.741.821.831.9357.47%54.85%54.64%51.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:New York Mets (主队):47.60%;Miami Marlins (客队):52.40%。 对于“Miami Marlins (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.91。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为1.93,对应+1.14%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -5.28%E -2.66%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV +1.14%E +0.590%K +1.23%G +0.014%2.1%2026-08-02 17:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.62%E -4.49%K -9.36%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.48%E -0.788%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 17:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.43%E -1.18%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.00%E -1.07%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-02 15:24
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.43%E -1.18%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.00%E -1.07%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-02 15:09
FanDuel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%EV -1.000%E -0.481%K -0.926%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%EV -2.53%E -1.36%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-02 17:40
Pinnacle🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -1.48%E -0.713%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -2.53%E -1.36%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-02 17:30
GTbets🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.95%E -0.947%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.53%E -1.36%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-02 15:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.43%E -1.18%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.53%E -1.36%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-02 15:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.43%E -1.18%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.53%E -1.36%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-02 15:15
BetUS🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.000%E -0.481%K -0.926%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -3.05%E -1.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-02 17:35
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -2.43%E -1.18%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -3.05%E -1.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-02 17:24
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.81%E -2.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.05%E -1.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.81%E -2.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.05%E -1.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 06:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.19%E -3.69%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.05%E -1.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 17:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.86%E -1.91%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.58%E -1.94%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 17:25
MyBookie.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.86%E -1.91%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.58%E -1.94%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 17:23
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -1.95%E -0.947%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -4.10%E -2.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 17:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -1.95%E -0.947%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -4.10%E -2.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 17:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -1.95%E -0.947%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -4.10%E -2.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 17:24
Bovada🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.33%E -2.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.10%E -2.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 17:34
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.81%E -2.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.10%E -2.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 16:19
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.81%E -2.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.10%E -2.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 15:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.81%E -2.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.10%E -2.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 16:55
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.81%E -2.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.10%E -2.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 15:14
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.81%E -2.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.10%E -2.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.81%E -2.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.10%E -2.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 15:14
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.81%E -2.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.10%E -2.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 15:14
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.81%E -2.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.10%E -2.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 17:24
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.81%E -2.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.10%E -2.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 14:59
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.76%E -2.91%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.10%E -2.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 15:08
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.76%E -2.91%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.10%E -2.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 15:09
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.76%E -2.91%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.10%E -2.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 17:39
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.76%E -2.91%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.10%E -2.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.76%E -2.91%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.10%E -2.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 15:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.90%E -1.42%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.63%E -2.54%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 17:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.90%E -1.42%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.63%E -2.54%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 17:24
DraftKings🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV -4.33%E -2.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -4.63%E -2.54%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 17:24
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.81%E -2.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.63%E -2.54%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.28%E -2.66%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.63%E -2.54%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 16:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.76%E -2.91%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.63%E -2.54%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 15:25
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.86%E -1.91%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.15%E -2.84%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 17:24
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.86%E -1.91%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.15%E -2.84%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 17:24
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.86%E -1.91%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.15%E -2.84%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 17:25
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.86%E -1.91%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.15%E -2.84%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 17:23
Unibet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -5.76%E -2.91%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -5.15%E -2.84%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 17:30
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.43%E -1.18%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 15:10
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.86%E -1.91%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.86%E -1.91%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 17:25
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.86%E -1.91%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 17:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.86%E -1.91%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 17:24
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.81%E -2.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 17:39
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.81%E -2.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 01:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.81%E -2.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 01:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.81%E -2.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 01:30
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.81%E -2.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 02:44
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.81%E -2.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 17:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.71%E -3.42%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 15:24
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.19%E -3.69%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 17:24
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.19%E -3.69%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 17:34
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.19%E -3.69%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 17:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.81%E -2.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.72%E -3.78%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 17:40
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.43%E -1.18%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.25%E -4.09%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 06:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -7.66%E -3.95%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -7.25%E -4.09%K -9.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 17:21
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.19%E -3.69%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.29%E -4.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 17:40
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28%EV -7.66%E -3.95%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72%EV -8.82%E -5.07%K -11.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 17:25
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎2.13I 46.95%NM 47.01%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.99%-0.1%2026-08-02 17:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-08-02 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-08-02 17:40
Polymarket◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-08-02 17:05
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-08-02 17:35
Novig◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-08-02 17:37
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-08-02 17:40
ProphetX◎2.09I 47.85%NM 47.36%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64%1.0%2026-08-02 17:40
Matchbook◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%1.2%2026-08-02 17:35
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-08-02 17:40