Language:English
Miami Marlins v Philadelphia Phillies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Miami Marlins (Local)
Prediction 43.70%2.29fair odd
EV -0.366%
Edge -0.161%
Kelly -0.286%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.60%43.74%43.73%44.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.192.202.2847.17%45.57%45.45%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)
Prediction 56.30%1.78fair odd
EV -0.910%
Edge -0.517%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.13%56.26%56.27%57.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.691.691.7660.61%59.09%59.17%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Marlins (Local): 43.70%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visit): 56.30%. For Miami Marlins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.28, with an expected value of -0.366%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -0.366%E -0.161%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -1.24%E -0.549%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -2.04%E -1.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.68%E -0.746%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.68%E -0.746%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -2.11%E -0.944%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.47%E -0.842%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-05-03 15:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.11%E -0.944%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.04%E -1.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.04%E -1.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.04%E -1.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 16:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 16:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.99%E -1.35%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.85%E -2.87%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-03 17:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.99%E -1.35%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.85%E -2.87%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-03 14:18 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -0.910%E -0.517%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -0.910%E -0.517%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-03 17:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-03 17:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-03 13:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-03 06:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.85%E -2.87%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-03 10:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 02:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 15:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 18:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 18:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.10%E -4.30%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 07:16 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.30%E -1.96%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-03 13:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.74%E -2.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-03 13:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.61%E -2.60%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.47%E -0.842%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.04%E -1.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.16%E -1.84%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 17:23 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 15:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 13:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 13:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 13:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 13:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 13:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.10%E -4.30%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.48%E -3.03%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.36%E -3.47%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.16%E -1.84%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.36%E -3.47%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.16%E -1.84%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.36%E -3.47%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.16%E -1.84%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 0.4% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 0.4% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.46% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.54% | 0.5% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-03 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-03 17:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-05-03 15:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 13:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28% | 2.1% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78% | 2.4% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |