La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Miami Marlins v Philadelphia Phillies
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Miami Marlins (Local)
Predicción 43.70%2.29momio equitativo
EV -0.366%
Ventaja -0.161%
Kelly -0.286%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.60%43.74%43.73%44.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.122.192.202.2847.17%45.57%45.45%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)
Predicción 56.30%1.78momio equitativo
EV -0.910%
Ventaja -0.517%
Kelly -1.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.13%56.26%56.27%57.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.691.691.7660.61%59.09%59.17%56.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -0.366%E -0.161%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| GTbets | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -1.24%E -0.549%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -2.04%E -1.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.68%E -0.746%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.68%E -0.746%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| Everygame | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -2.11%E -0.944%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.47%E -0.842%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-05-03 15:44 |
| 1xBet | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.11%E -0.944%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.04%E -1.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.04%E -1.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.04%E -1.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| Bally Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| betPARX | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| Unibet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 16:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 16:50 |
| LeoVegas | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| Casumo | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.99%E -1.35%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.85%E -2.87%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-03 17:34 |
| Caesars | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.99%E -1.35%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.85%E -2.87%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-03 14:18 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -0.910%E -0.517%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -0.910%E -0.517%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| ReBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-03 17:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-03 17:05 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-03 13:04 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-03 06:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.85%E -2.87%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-03 10:05 |
| Bet Right | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 02:09 |
| Fliff | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 15:35 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 18:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 18:15 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.10%E -4.30%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 07:16 |
| DraftKings | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.30%E -1.96%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-03 13:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.74%E -2.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-03 13:39 |
| SportsBet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.61%E -2.60%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| TAB | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.47%E -0.842%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.04%E -1.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.16%E -1.84%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 17:23 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 15:45 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 13:39 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 13:40 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 13:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 13:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 13:04 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.10%E -4.30%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.48%E -3.03%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Betsson | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.36%E -3.47%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.16%E -1.84%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.36%E -3.47%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.16%E -1.84%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.36%E -3.47%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.16%E -1.84%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 0.4% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| ProphetX | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 0.4% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| Novig | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.46% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.54% | 0.5% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-03 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-03 17:05 |
| Polymarket | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-05-03 15:40 |
| Kalshi | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 13:15 |
| Smarkets | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28% | 2.1% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| BetOpenly | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78% | 2.4% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |