Die Schule der Quoten

Miami Marlins v Philadelphia Phillies

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-03 17:41 UTC

Endstand: Miami Marlins 2–7 Philadelphia Phillies

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

61 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Miami Marlins (Heim)

Prognose 43.70%2.29faire Quote
EV -0.366%
Vorteil -0.161%
Kelly -0.286%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.28

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
42.60%43.74%43.73%44.87%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.122.192.202.2847.17%45.57%45.45%43.86%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (Auswärts)

Prognose 56.30%1.78faire Quote
EV -0.910%
Vorteil -0.517%
Kelly -1.20%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.76

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
55.13%56.26%56.27%57.40%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.651.691.691.7660.61%59.09%59.17%56.82%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -0.366%E -0.161%K -0.286%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-03 17:10
GTbets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -1.24%E -0.549%K -0.985%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -2.04%E -1.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-03 17:35
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.68%E -0.746%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:15
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.68%E -0.746%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:10
Everygame2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -2.11%E -0.944%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.47%E -0.842%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-03 15:44
1xBet2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.11%E -0.944%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.04%E -1.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-03 17:15
LowVig.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.04%E -1.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-03 17:35
BetOnline.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.04%E -1.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-03 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:10
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 16:45
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:10
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:10
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:10
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 16:50
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:10
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 16:50
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:10
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 16:45
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:10
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:10
MyBookie.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.99%E -1.35%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.85%E -2.87%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 17:34
Caesars2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.99%E -1.35%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.85%E -2.87%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 14:18
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -0.910%E -0.517%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-03 17:30
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -0.910%E -0.517%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-03 17:30
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 17:05
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 17:05
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 13:04
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 06:30
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:35
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.85%E -2.87%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 10:05
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 14:20
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 02:09
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 15:35
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:15
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:15
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:15
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:15
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:40
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.10%E -4.30%K -10.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 07:16
DraftKings2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.30%E -1.96%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-03 13:00
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.74%E -2.17%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 13:39
SportsBet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.61%E -2.60%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:35
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.47%E -0.842%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-03 17:30
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.04%E -1.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-03 17:25
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.16%E -1.84%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 17:23
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 15:45
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 13:39
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 13:40
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 16:30
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 17:30
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 13:00
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 17:35
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 13:05
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 13:04
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.10%E -4.30%K -10.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 17:30
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.48%E -3.03%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:25
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.36%E -3.47%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.16%E -1.84%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:30
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.36%E -3.47%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.16%E -1.84%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:30
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.36%E -3.47%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.16%E -1.84%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:30
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-05-03 17:25
ProphetX2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-05-03 17:35
Novig2.29I 43.67%NM 43.46%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.54%0.5%2026-05-03 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-05-03 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-05-03 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-05-03 17:05
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-05-03 15:40
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-05-03 13:15
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.1%2026-05-03 17:25
BetOpenly2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.4%2026-05-03 17:30