La scuola delle quote

Miami Marlins v Philadelphia Phillies

Inizio: 2026-05-03 17:41 UTC

Finale: Miami Marlins 2–7 Philadelphia Phillies

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

61 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Miami Marlins (Casa)

Previsione 43.70%2.29quota equa
EV -0.366%
Vantaggio -0.161%
Kelly -0.286%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.60%43.74%43.73%44.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.122.192.202.2847.17%45.57%45.45%43.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (Trasferta)

Previsione 56.30%1.78quota equa
EV -0.910%
Vantaggio -0.517%
Kelly -1.20%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.76

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.13%56.26%56.27%57.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.651.691.691.7660.61%59.09%59.17%56.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -0.366%E -0.161%K -0.286%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-03 17:10
GTbets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -1.24%E -0.549%K -0.985%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -2.04%E -1.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-03 17:35
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.68%E -0.746%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:15
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.68%E -0.746%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:10
Everygame2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -2.11%E -0.944%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.47%E -0.842%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-03 15:44
1xBet2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.11%E -0.944%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.04%E -1.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-03 17:15
LowVig.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.04%E -1.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-03 17:35
BetOnline.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.04%E -1.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-03 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:10
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 16:45
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:10
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:10
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:10
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 16:50
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:10
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 16:50
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:10
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 16:45
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:10
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:10
MyBookie.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.99%E -1.35%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.85%E -2.87%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 17:34
Caesars2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.99%E -1.35%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.85%E -2.87%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 14:18
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -0.910%E -0.517%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-03 17:30
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -0.910%E -0.517%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-03 17:30
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 17:05
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 17:05
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 13:04
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 06:30
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:35
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.85%E -2.87%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 10:05
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 14:20
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 02:09
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 15:35
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:15
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:15
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:15
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:15
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:40
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.10%E -4.30%K -10.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 07:16
DraftKings2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.30%E -1.96%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-03 13:00
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.74%E -2.17%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 13:39
SportsBet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.61%E -2.60%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:35
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.47%E -0.842%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-03 17:30
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.04%E -1.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-03 17:25
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.16%E -1.84%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 17:23
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 15:45
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 13:39
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 13:40
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 16:30
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 17:30
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 13:00
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 17:35
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 13:05
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 13:04
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.10%E -4.30%K -10.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 17:30
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.48%E -3.03%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:25
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.36%E -3.47%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.16%E -1.84%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:30
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.36%E -3.47%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.16%E -1.84%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:30
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.36%E -3.47%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.16%E -1.84%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-05-03 17:25
ProphetX2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-05-03 17:35
Novig2.29I 43.67%NM 43.46%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.54%0.5%2026-05-03 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-05-03 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-05-03 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-05-03 17:05
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-05-03 15:40
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-05-03 13:15
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.1%2026-05-03 17:25
BetOpenly2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.4%2026-05-03 17:30