语言:简体中文
Miami Marlins v Philadelphia Phillies
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Miami Marlins (主队)
预测 43.70%2.29公平赔率
EV -0.366%
优势 -0.161%
Kelly -0.286%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.28
博彩公司预测分布
42.60%43.74%43.73%44.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.122.192.202.2847.17%45.57%45.45%43.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
Philadelphia Phillies (客队)
预测 56.30%1.78公平赔率
EV -0.910%
优势 -0.517%
Kelly -1.20%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.76
博彩公司预测分布
55.13%56.26%56.27%57.40%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.651.691.691.7660.61%59.09%59.17%56.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Miami Marlins (主队)：43.70%；Philadelphia Phillies (客队)：56.30%。 对于“Miami Marlins (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.29。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.28，期望值为-0.366%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -0.366%E -0.161%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -1.24%E -0.549%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -2.04%E -1.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.68%E -0.746%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.68%E -0.746%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -2.11%E -0.944%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.47%E -0.842%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-05-03 15:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.11%E -0.944%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.04%E -1.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.04%E -1.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.04%E -1.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 16:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 16:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.99%E -1.35%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.85%E -2.87%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-03 17:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.99%E -1.35%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.85%E -2.87%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-03 14:18 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -0.910%E -0.517%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -0.910%E -0.517%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-03 17:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-03 17:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-03 13:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-03 06:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.85%E -2.87%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-03 10:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 02:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 15:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 18:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 18:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.10%E -4.30%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 07:16 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.30%E -1.96%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-03 13:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.74%E -2.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-03 13:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.61%E -2.60%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.47%E -0.842%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.04%E -1.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.16%E -1.84%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 17:23 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 15:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 13:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 13:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 13:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 13:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 13:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.10%E -4.30%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.48%E -3.03%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.36%E -3.47%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.16%E -1.84%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.36%E -3.47%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.16%E -1.84%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.36%E -3.47%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.16%E -1.84%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (10)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 0.4% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 0.4% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.46% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.54% | 0.5% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-03 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-03 17:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-05-03 15:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 13:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28% | 2.1% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78% | 2.4% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |