مدرسة الاحتمالات

Miami Marlins v Philadelphia Phillies

البداية: 2026-05-03 17:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Miami Marlins 2–7 Philadelphia Phillies

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Miami Marlins (المضيف)

التنبؤ 43.70%2.29السعر العادل
EV -0.366%
الأفضلية -0.161%
Kelly -0.286%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.28

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.60%43.74%43.73%44.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.122.192.202.2847.17%45.57%45.45%43.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (الضيف)

التنبؤ 56.30%1.78السعر العادل
EV -0.910%
الأفضلية -0.517%
Kelly -1.20%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.76

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.13%56.26%56.27%57.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.651.691.691.7660.61%59.09%59.17%56.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -0.366%E -0.161%K -0.286%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-03 17:10
GTbets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -1.24%E -0.549%K -0.985%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -2.04%E -1.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-03 17:35
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.68%E -0.746%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:15
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.68%E -0.746%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:10
Everygame2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -2.11%E -0.944%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.47%E -0.842%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-03 15:44
1xBet2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.11%E -0.944%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.04%E -1.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-03 17:15
LowVig.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.04%E -1.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-03 17:35
BetOnline.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.04%E -1.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-03 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:10
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 16:45
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:10
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:10
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:10
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 16:50
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:10
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 16:50
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:10
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 16:45
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:10
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:10
MyBookie.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.99%E -1.35%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.85%E -2.87%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 17:34
Caesars2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.99%E -1.35%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.85%E -2.87%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 14:18
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -0.910%E -0.517%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-03 17:30
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -0.910%E -0.517%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-03 17:30
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 17:05
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 17:05
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 13:04
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 06:30
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:35
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.85%E -2.87%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 10:05
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 14:20
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 02:09
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 15:35
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:15
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:15
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:15
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:15
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:40
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.10%E -4.30%K -10.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 07:16
DraftKings2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.30%E -1.96%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-03 13:00
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.74%E -2.17%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 13:39
SportsBet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.61%E -2.60%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:35
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.47%E -0.842%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-03 17:30
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.04%E -1.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-03 17:25
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.16%E -1.84%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 17:23
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 15:45
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 13:39
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 13:40
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 16:30
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 17:30
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 13:00
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 17:35
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 13:05
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 13:04
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.10%E -4.30%K -10.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 17:30
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.48%E -3.03%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:25
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.36%E -3.47%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.16%E -1.84%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:30
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.36%E -3.47%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.16%E -1.84%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:30
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.36%E -3.47%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.16%E -1.84%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-05-03 17:25
ProphetX2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-05-03 17:35
Novig2.29I 43.67%NM 43.46%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.54%0.5%2026-05-03 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-05-03 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-05-03 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-05-03 17:05
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-05-03 15:40
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-05-03 13:15
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.1%2026-05-03 17:25
BetOpenly2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.4%2026-05-03 17:30