Language:English
Kansas City Royals v Chicago Cubs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kansas City Royals (Local)
Prediction 40.06%2.50fair odd
EV +1.76%
Edge +0.691%
Kelly +1.14%
Growth +0.020%
assuming max odds 2.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.12%40.06%40.00%41.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.372.362.5444.84%42.13%42.37%39.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago Cubs (Visit)
Prediction 59.94%1.67fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.668%
Kelly -1.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.44%59.94%60.00%61.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.601.601.6564.94%62.42%62.50%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas City Royals (Local): 40.06%; Chicago Cubs (Visit): 59.94%. For Kansas City Royals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.50. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.54, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.76%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%EV +1.76%E +0.691%K +1.14%G +0.020% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-09 17:52 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV +0.555%E +0.221%K +0.367%G +0.002% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-09 17:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV +0.154%E +0.062%K +0.103%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.90%E -1.79%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-09 17:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +0.154%E +0.062%K +0.103%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.69%E -5.00%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 18:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.247%E -0.099%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-09 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -0.647%E -0.261%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-09 17:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -0.647%E -0.261%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-09 17:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.76%EV -1.05%E -0.424%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.24%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-09 15:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -1.45%E -0.589%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-09 17:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%EV -1.45%E -0.589%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.85%E -0.755%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 17:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -1.70%E -1.04%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-09 13:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 18:08 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -3.05%E -1.26%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.10%E -0.668%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 15:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 18:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 17:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 17:08 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 16:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.70%E -2.95%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-09 15:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.70%E -2.95%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-09 05:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.65%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.90%E -1.79%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-09 05:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.65%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 15:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.65%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.65%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 17:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.05%E -2.13%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.70%E -2.95%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 16:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.05%E -2.13%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.30%E -3.35%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 16:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.05%E -2.13%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.30%E -3.35%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 16:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -5.45%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.45%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.70%E -2.95%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 13:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.10%E -0.668%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.10%E -0.668%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.90%E -1.79%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.90%E -1.79%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 14:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 19:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 19:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 19:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.70%E -2.95%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 19:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.30%E -3.35%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.30%E -3.35%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 15:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -6.66%E -2.86%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -6.66%E -2.86%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -7.06%E -3.04%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -7.06%E -3.04%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -7.06%E -3.04%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -7.06%E -3.04%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -7.06%E -3.04%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -7.06%E -3.04%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 16:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.86%E -3.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 18:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.86%E -3.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.86%E -3.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.86%E -3.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.50%E -4.16%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 17:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.52%EV -8.26%E -3.61%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -6.50%E -4.16%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 17:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.66%E -3.80%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.66%E -3.80%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.86%E -4.38%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 17:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.86%E -4.38%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 17:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -10.66%E -4.78%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -6.50%E -4.16%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67% | 0.5% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 18:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 22:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 09:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 17:55 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.45I 40.82%NM 40.10% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.90% | 1.8% | 2026-08-09 18:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31% | 2.6% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12% | 2.9% | 2026-08-09 18:05 |