StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Kansas City Royals v Chicago Cubs

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-09 18:10 UTC

Endstand: Kansas City Royals 2–10 Chicago Cubs

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Kansas City Royals (Heim)

Prognose 40.06%2.50faire Quote
EV +1.76%
Vorteil +0.691%
Kelly +1.14%
Wachstum +0.020%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.54

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
38.12%40.06%40.00%41.56%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.232.372.362.5444.84%42.13%42.37%39.37%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Cubs (Auswärts)

Prognose 59.94%1.67faire Quote
EV -1.10%
Vorteil -0.668%
Kelly -1.69%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.65

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
58.44%59.94%60.00%61.88%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.541.601.601.6564.94%62.42%62.50%60.61%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Kansas City Royals (Heim): 40.06%; Chicago Cubs (Auswärts): 59.94%. Für Kansas City Royals (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.50. 4 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.54 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.76%.

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Caesars🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%EV +1.76%E +0.691%K +1.14%G +0.020%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-09 17:52
Pinnacle🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV +0.555%E +0.221%K +0.367%G +0.002%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-09 17:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV +0.154%E +0.062%K +0.103%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.90%E -1.79%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-09 17:05
Fliff🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +0.154%E +0.062%K +0.103%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.69%E -5.00%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 18:05
GTbets🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.247%E -0.099%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-09 17:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -0.647%E -0.261%K -0.437%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-09 17:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -0.647%E -0.261%K -0.437%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-09 17:45
DraftKings🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.76%EV -1.05%E -0.424%K -0.713%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.24%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-09 15:40
BetUS🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -1.45%E -0.589%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-09 17:50
BetAnything🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%EV -1.45%E -0.589%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-09 18:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.85%E -0.755%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 17:44
1xBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -1.70%E -1.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-09 13:29
Bovada🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 18:08
FanDuel🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -3.05%E -1.26%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.10%E -0.668%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-09 14:50
ReBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 15:39
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 18:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 17:04
MyBookie.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 17:08
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 16:20
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 16:44
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.70%E -2.95%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 15:15
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.70%E -2.95%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 16:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 05:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.65%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.90%E -1.79%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-09 05:15
Bet Right🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.65%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 15:04
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.65%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 17:30
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.65%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 17:04
Coolbet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.05%E -2.13%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.70%E -2.95%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 16:50
Betsson🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.05%E -2.13%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.30%E -3.35%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 16:45
NordicBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.05%E -2.13%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.30%E -3.35%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 16:45
SportsBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -5.45%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 18:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.45%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.70%E -2.95%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 13:25
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.10%E -0.668%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-09 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.10%E -0.668%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-09 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.90%E -1.79%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 16:20
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.90%E -1.79%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 16:20
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 14:30
888sport🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 19:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 19:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 19:04
Dabble (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 16:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.70%E -2.95%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 19:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.30%E -3.35%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 17:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.30%E -3.35%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 15:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -6.66%E -2.86%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -6.66%E -2.86%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 17:00
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -7.06%E -3.04%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -7.06%E -3.04%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 17:00
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -7.06%E -3.04%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -7.06%E -3.04%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 17:00
Bally Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -7.06%E -3.04%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 17:00
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -7.06%E -3.04%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 16:59
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.86%E -3.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 18:09
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.86%E -3.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 17:00
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.86%E -3.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 15:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.86%E -3.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.50%E -4.16%K -11.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.52%EV -8.26%E -3.61%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -6.50%E -4.16%K -11.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 17:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.66%E -3.80%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.66%E -3.80%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 17:00
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.86%E -4.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 17:59
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.86%E -4.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 17:55
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -10.66%E -4.78%K -8.67%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -6.50%E -4.16%K -11.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 17:00
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Novig◎2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67%0.5%2026-08-09 17:30
ProphetX◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%0.8%2026-08-09 18:05
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-08-08 22:00
Polymarket◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-08-09 09:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%1.1%2026-08-09 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%1.1%2026-08-09 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%1.1%2026-08-09 17:55
BetOpenly◎2.45I 40.82%NM 40.10%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.90%1.8%2026-08-09 18:09
Matchbook◎2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%2.6%2026-08-09 18:10
Smarkets◎2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%2.9%2026-08-09 18:05