Język:Polski
Kansas City Royals v Chicago Cubs
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Kansas City Royals (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 40.06%2.50kurs godziwy
EV +1.76%
Przewaga +0.691%
Kelly +1.14%
Wzrost +0.020%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.54
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
38.12%40.06%40.00%41.56%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.232.372.362.5444.84%42.13%42.37%39.37%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Chicago Cubs (Goście)
Prognoza 59.94%1.67kurs godziwy
EV -1.10%
Przewaga -0.668%
Kelly -1.69%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.65
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
58.44%59.94%60.00%61.88%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.541.601.601.6564.94%62.42%62.50%60.61%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Kansas City Royals (Gospodarze): 40.06%; Chicago Cubs (Goście): 59.94%. Dla wyniku Kansas City Royals (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.50. 4 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.54, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.76%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%EV +1.76%E +0.691%K +1.14%G +0.020% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-09 17:52 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV +0.555%E +0.221%K +0.367%G +0.002% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-09 17:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV +0.154%E +0.062%K +0.103%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.90%E -1.79%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-09 17:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +0.154%E +0.062%K +0.103%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.69%E -5.00%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 18:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.247%E -0.099%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-09 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -0.647%E -0.261%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-09 17:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -0.647%E -0.261%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-09 17:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.76%EV -1.05%E -0.424%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.24%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-09 15:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -1.45%E -0.589%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-09 17:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%EV -1.45%E -0.589%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.85%E -0.755%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 17:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -1.70%E -1.04%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-09 13:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 18:08 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -3.05%E -1.26%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.10%E -0.668%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 15:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 18:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 17:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 17:08 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 16:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.70%E -2.95%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-09 15:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.70%E -2.95%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-09 05:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.65%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.90%E -1.79%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-09 05:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.65%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 15:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.65%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.65%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 17:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.05%E -2.13%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.70%E -2.95%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 16:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.05%E -2.13%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.30%E -3.35%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 16:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.05%E -2.13%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.30%E -3.35%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 16:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -5.45%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.45%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.70%E -2.95%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 13:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.10%E -0.668%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.10%E -0.668%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.90%E -1.79%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.90%E -1.79%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 14:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 19:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 19:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 19:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.70%E -2.95%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 19:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.30%E -3.35%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.30%E -3.35%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 15:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -6.66%E -2.86%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -6.66%E -2.86%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -7.06%E -3.04%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -7.06%E -3.04%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -7.06%E -3.04%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -7.06%E -3.04%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -7.06%E -3.04%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -7.06%E -3.04%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 16:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.86%E -3.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 18:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.86%E -3.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.86%E -3.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.86%E -3.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.50%E -4.16%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 17:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.52%EV -8.26%E -3.61%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -6.50%E -4.16%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 17:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.66%E -3.80%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.66%E -3.80%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.86%E -4.38%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 17:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.86%E -4.38%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 17:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -10.66%E -4.78%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -6.50%E -4.16%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (10)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67% | 0.5% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 18:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 22:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 09:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 17:55 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.45I 40.82%NM 40.10% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.90% | 1.8% | 2026-08-09 18:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31% | 2.6% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12% | 2.9% | 2026-08-09 18:05 |