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Kansas City Royals v Chicago Cubs
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Kansas City Royals (Хозяева)
Прогноз 40.06%2.50справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.76%
Преимущество +0.691%
Kelly +1.14%
Рост +0.020%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.54
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
38.12%40.06%40.00%41.56%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.232.372.362.5444.84%42.13%42.37%39.37%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Chicago Cubs (Гости)
Прогноз 59.94%1.67справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.10%
Преимущество -0.668%
Kelly -1.69%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.65
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
58.44%59.94%60.00%61.88%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.541.601.601.6564.94%62.42%62.50%60.61%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Kansas City Royals (Хозяева): 40.06%; Chicago Cubs (Гости): 59.94%. Для исхода «Kansas City Royals (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.50. 4 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 2.54, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.76%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (63 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%EV +1.76%E +0.691%K +1.14%G +0.020% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-09 17:52 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV +0.555%E +0.221%K +0.367%G +0.002% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-09 17:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV +0.154%E +0.062%K +0.103%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.90%E -1.79%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-09 17:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +0.154%E +0.062%K +0.103%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.69%E -5.00%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 18:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.247%E -0.099%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-09 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -0.647%E -0.261%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-09 17:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -0.647%E -0.261%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-09 17:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.76%EV -1.05%E -0.424%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.24%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-09 15:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -1.45%E -0.589%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-09 17:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%EV -1.45%E -0.589%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.85%E -0.755%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 17:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -1.70%E -1.04%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-09 13:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 18:08 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -3.05%E -1.26%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.10%E -0.668%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 15:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 18:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 17:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 17:08 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 16:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.70%E -2.95%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-09 15:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.70%E -2.95%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-09 05:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.65%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.90%E -1.79%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-09 05:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.65%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 15:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.65%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.65%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 17:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.05%E -2.13%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.70%E -2.95%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 16:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.05%E -2.13%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.30%E -3.35%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 16:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.05%E -2.13%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.30%E -3.35%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 16:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -5.45%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.45%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.70%E -2.95%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 13:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.10%E -0.668%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.10%E -0.668%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.90%E -1.79%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.90%E -1.79%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 14:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 19:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 19:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 19:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.70%E -2.95%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 19:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.30%E -3.35%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.30%E -3.35%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 15:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -6.66%E -2.86%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -6.66%E -2.86%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -7.06%E -3.04%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -7.06%E -3.04%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -7.06%E -3.04%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -7.06%E -3.04%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -7.06%E -3.04%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -7.06%E -3.04%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 16:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.86%E -3.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 18:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.86%E -3.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.86%E -3.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.86%E -3.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.50%E -4.16%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 17:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.52%EV -8.26%E -3.61%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -6.50%E -4.16%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 17:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.66%E -3.80%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.66%E -3.80%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.86%E -4.38%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 17:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.86%E -4.38%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 17:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -10.66%E -4.78%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -6.50%E -4.16%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (10)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67% | 0.5% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 18:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 22:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 09:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 17:55 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.45I 40.82%NM 40.10% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.90% | 1.8% | 2026-08-09 18:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31% | 2.6% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12% | 2.9% | 2026-08-09 18:05 |