默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Kansas City Royals v Chicago Cubs

2026-08-09 18:10 UTC — MLB

胜负盘

29 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Kansas City Royals (主队)

预测 40.46%2.47公平赔率
EV -0.069%
优势 -0.028%
Kelly -0.047%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.47

博彩公司预测分布
39.55%40.41%40.51%41.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.252.362.352.4744.44%42.34%42.55%40.49%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chicago Cubs (客队)

预测 59.54%1.68公平赔率
EV -1.76%
优势 -1.06%
Kelly -2.70%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.65

博彩公司预测分布
58.97%59.59%59.49%60.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.551.601.601.6564.52%62.57%62.50%60.61%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Kansas City Royals (主队):40.46%;Chicago Cubs (客队):59.54%。 对于“Kansas City Royals (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.472。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为2.470,期望值为-0.069%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (29 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Caesars🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90%EV -0.069%E -0.028%K -0.047%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-08 19:33
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -0.474%E -0.193%K -0.324%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.95%E -1.81%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-08 19:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV -0.878%E -0.358%K -0.606%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -1.76%E -1.06%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-08 20:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.878%E -0.358%K -0.606%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.54%E -2.19%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-08 19:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.878%E -0.358%K -0.606%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.54%E -2.19%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-08 19:10
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 19:33
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.52%E -4.15%K -11.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 19:14
DraftKings🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.10%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 20:00
Bet Right🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.71%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 19:05
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.71%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.52%E -4.15%K -11.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 19:19
FanDuel🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.52%E -1.92%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.54%E -2.19%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 18:59
Bovada🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.52%E -1.92%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.54%E -2.19%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 19:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.92%E -2.10%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.95%E -1.81%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 19:04
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.92%E -2.10%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.92%E -2.10%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 19:09
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.92%E -2.10%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 19:09
888sport🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.92%E -2.10%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 19:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.92%E -2.10%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 19:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.92%E -2.10%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 19:04
ReBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.92%E -2.10%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 19:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.92%E -2.10%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 19:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.92%E -2.10%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.92%E -3.75%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 19:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -5.73%E -2.46%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -5.92%E -3.75%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 19:08
SportsBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.77%EV -6.54%E -2.83%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.23%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 19:00
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 19:00
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.52%E -4.15%K -11.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 19:10
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.52%E -4.15%K -11.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 19:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.97%E -3.99%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -7.11%E -4.56%K -12.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 19:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.97%E -3.99%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -7.71%E -4.97%K -14.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 19:09
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%0.0%2026-08-08 18:05
Polymarket2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-08-08 18:04
Novig2.47I 40.49%NM 39.76%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.24%1.8%2026-08-08 20:10
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 40.96%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.04%10.0%2026-08-08 19:10