语言:简体中文
Kansas City Royals v Chicago Cubs
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Kansas City Royals (主队)
预测 40.06%2.50公平赔率
EV +1.76%
优势 +0.691%
Kelly +1.14%
增长率 +0.020%
假设最高赔率为 2.54
博彩公司预测分布
38.12%40.06%40.00%41.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.232.372.362.5444.84%42.13%42.37%39.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
Chicago Cubs (客队)
预测 59.94%1.67公平赔率
EV -1.10%
优势 -0.668%
Kelly -1.69%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.65
博彩公司预测分布
58.44%59.94%60.00%61.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.541.601.601.6564.94%62.42%62.50%60.61%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Kansas City Royals (主队)：40.06%；Chicago Cubs (客队)：59.94%。 对于“Kansas City Royals (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.50。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.54，对应+1.76%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%EV +1.76%E +0.691%K +1.14%G +0.020% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-09 17:52 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV +0.555%E +0.221%K +0.367%G +0.002% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-09 17:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV +0.154%E +0.062%K +0.103%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.90%E -1.79%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-09 17:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +0.154%E +0.062%K +0.103%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.69%E -5.00%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 18:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.247%E -0.099%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-09 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -0.647%E -0.261%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-09 17:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -0.647%E -0.261%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-09 17:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.76%EV -1.05%E -0.424%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.24%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-09 15:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -1.45%E -0.589%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-09 17:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%EV -1.45%E -0.589%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.85%E -0.755%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 17:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -1.70%E -1.04%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-09 13:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 18:08 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -3.05%E -1.26%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.10%E -0.668%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 15:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 18:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 17:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 17:08 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 16:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.70%E -2.95%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-09 15:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.70%E -2.95%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-09 05:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.65%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.90%E -1.79%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-09 05:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.65%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 15:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.65%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.65%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 17:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.05%E -2.13%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.70%E -2.95%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 16:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.05%E -2.13%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.30%E -3.35%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 16:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.05%E -2.13%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.30%E -3.35%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 16:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -5.45%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.45%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.70%E -2.95%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 13:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.10%E -0.668%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.10%E -0.668%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.90%E -1.79%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.90%E -1.79%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 14:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 19:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 19:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 19:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.70%E -2.95%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 19:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.30%E -3.35%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.30%E -3.35%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 15:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -6.66%E -2.86%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -6.66%E -2.86%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -7.06%E -3.04%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -7.06%E -3.04%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -7.06%E -3.04%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -7.06%E -3.04%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -7.06%E -3.04%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -7.06%E -3.04%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 16:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.86%E -3.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 18:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.86%E -3.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.86%E -3.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.86%E -3.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.50%E -4.16%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 17:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.52%EV -8.26%E -3.61%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -6.50%E -4.16%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 17:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.66%E -3.80%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.66%E -3.80%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.86%E -4.38%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 17:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.86%E -4.38%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 17:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -10.66%E -4.78%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -6.50%E -4.16%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (10)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67% | 0.5% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 18:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 22:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 09:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 17:55 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.45I 40.82%NM 40.10% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.90% | 1.8% | 2026-08-09 18:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31% | 2.6% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12% | 2.9% | 2026-08-09 18:05 |