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Kansas City Royals v Chicago Cubs
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Kansas City Royals (Local)
Predicción 40.06%2.50momio equitativo
EV +1.76%
Ventaja +0.691%
Kelly +1.14%
Crecimiento +0.020%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.12%40.06%40.00%41.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.232.372.362.5444.84%42.13%42.37%39.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Chicago Cubs (Visitante)
Predicción 59.94%1.67momio equitativo
EV -1.10%
Ventaja -0.668%
Kelly -1.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.44%59.94%60.00%61.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.541.601.601.6564.94%62.42%62.50%60.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Kansas City Royals (Local): 40.06%; Chicago Cubs (Visitante): 59.94%. Para Kansas City Royals (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.50. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.54, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.76%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%EV +1.76%E +0.691%K +1.14%G +0.020% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-09 17:52 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV +0.555%E +0.221%K +0.367%G +0.002% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-09 17:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV +0.154%E +0.062%K +0.103%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.90%E -1.79%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-09 17:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +0.154%E +0.062%K +0.103%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.69%E -5.00%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 18:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.247%E -0.099%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-09 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -0.647%E -0.261%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-09 17:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -0.647%E -0.261%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-09 17:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.76%EV -1.05%E -0.424%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.24%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-09 15:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -1.45%E -0.589%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-09 17:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%EV -1.45%E -0.589%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.85%E -0.755%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 17:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -1.70%E -1.04%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-09 13:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 18:08 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -3.05%E -1.26%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.10%E -0.668%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 15:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 18:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 17:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 17:08 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 16:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.70%E -2.95%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-09 15:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.70%E -2.95%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.85%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-09 05:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.65%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.90%E -1.79%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-09 05:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.65%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 15:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.65%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.65%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 17:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.05%E -2.13%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.70%E -2.95%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 16:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.05%E -2.13%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.30%E -3.35%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 16:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.05%E -2.13%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.30%E -3.35%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 16:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -5.45%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.45%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.70%E -2.95%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 13:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.10%E -0.668%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.10%E -0.668%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.90%E -1.79%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.90%E -1.79%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 14:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 19:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 19:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 19:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.70%E -2.95%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 19:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.30%E -3.35%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.86%E -2.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.30%E -3.35%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 15:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -6.66%E -2.86%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -6.66%E -2.86%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -7.06%E -3.04%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -7.06%E -3.04%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -7.06%E -3.04%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -7.06%E -3.04%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -7.06%E -3.04%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -7.06%E -3.04%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.30%E -1.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 16:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.86%E -3.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 18:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.86%E -3.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.50%E -2.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.86%E -3.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.86%E -3.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.50%E -4.16%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 17:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.52%EV -8.26%E -3.61%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -6.50%E -4.16%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 17:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.66%E -3.80%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.66%E -3.80%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.86%E -4.38%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 17:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.86%E -4.38%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.10%E -2.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 17:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -10.66%E -4.78%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -6.50%E -4.16%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-09 17:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67% | 0.5% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 18:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 22:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 09:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 17:55 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.45I 40.82%NM 40.10% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.90% | 1.8% | 2026-08-09 18:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31% | 2.6% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12% | 2.9% | 2026-08-09 18:05 |