Language:English
Kansas City Royals v Chicago Cubs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kansas City Royals (Local)
Prediction 39.59%2.53fair odd
EV +4.12%
Edge +1.57%
Kelly +2.53%
Growth +0.104%
assuming max odds 2.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.74%39.46%39.58%40.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.442.452.6343.48%40.92%40.82%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago Cubs (Visit)
Prediction 60.41%1.66fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.938%
Kelly -2.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.28%60.54%60.42%63.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.561.571.6368.97%64.13%63.69%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas City Royals (Local): 39.59%; Chicago Cubs (Visit): 60.41%. For Kansas City Royals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.63, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.12%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV +4.12%E +1.57%K +2.53%G +0.104% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -6.97%E -4.52%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-07 23:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.93%E +1.13%K +1.83%G +0.054% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 23:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV +1.35%E +0.526%K +0.864%G +0.012% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -5.76%E -3.69%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-08 00:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.951%E +0.373%K +0.614%G +0.006% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 21:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.951%E +0.373%K +0.614%G +0.006% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.38%E -6.26%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 00:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.951%E +0.373%K +0.614%G +0.006% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.38%E -6.26%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 00:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.951%E +0.373%K +0.614%G +0.006% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.38%E -6.26%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 00:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.951%E +0.373%K +0.614%G +0.006% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.38%E -6.26%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 00:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.951%E +0.373%K +0.614%G +0.006% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.38%E -6.26%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 00:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV +0.951%E +0.373%K +0.614%G +0.006% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -9.99%E -6.70%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 23:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.89%EV +0.159%E +0.063%K +0.104%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.11%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-07 17:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -1.03%E -0.411%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-07 23:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.03%E -0.411%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-07 13:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.03%E -0.411%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.95%E -2.48%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-07 19:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.03%E -0.411%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -1.03%E -0.411%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -9.99%E -6.70%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 00:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -1.42%E -0.572%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-07 13:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -1.42%E -0.572%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-07 13:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -1.82%E -0.734%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-08 00:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -1.82%E -0.734%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -9.99%E -6.70%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 00:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -1.82%E -0.734%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -9.99%E -6.70%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 00:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -1.82%E -0.734%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -10.59%E -7.16%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 00:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.53%E -0.938%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-07 13:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-07 21:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-08 00:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.95%E -2.48%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.95%E -2.48%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-07 20:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-07 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-07 13:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-07 13:11 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-07 13:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 00:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 21:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 21:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 21:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.80%E -1.56%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.95%E -2.48%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-07 19:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.80%E -1.56%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.76%E -3.69%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.37%EV -3.80%E -1.56%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.63%EV -12.40%E -8.55%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 00:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.20%E -1.73%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 21:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -3.95%E -2.48%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-08 00:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-07 09:03 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.95%E -2.48%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 08:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 23:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 12:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.76%E -3.69%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 00:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 05:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 23:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-08 00:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 13:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 07:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 21:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.17%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 09:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.17%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 09:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.97%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 00:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.97%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 13:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.97%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 13:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.97%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 00:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.97%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 00:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 00:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 00:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 00:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 00:08 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.59I 38.61%NM 38.63% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.37% | -0.0% | 2026-08-08 00:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.38% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.62% | -0.0% | 2026-08-08 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 0.3% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 00:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-08-07 18:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-08-08 00:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20% | 1.5% | 2026-08-08 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35% | 1.9% | 2026-08-08 00:10 |