Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas City Royals v Chicago Cubs

2026-08-08 00:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

41%

59%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Prediction 40.60%2.46fair odd

EV +1.50%

Edge +0.601%

Kelly +1.00%

Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

38.90%40.58%40.58%41.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.252.362.352.5044.44%42.44%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Cubs (Visit)

Prediction 59.40%1.68fair odd

EV -0.209%

Edge -0.124%

Kelly -0.308%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

58.23%59.42%59.42%61.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.541.601.601.6864.94%62.42%62.50%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kansas City Royals (Local): 40.60%; Chicago Cubs (Visit): 59.40%. For Kansas City Royals (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.50, producing a positive expected value of +1.50%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV +1.50%E +0.601%K +1.00%G +0.015%	1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -3.77%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000%	1.7%	2026-08-07 05:50
Caesars🎯	2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90%EV +0.284%E +0.115%K +0.193%G +0.001%	1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10%EV -2.59%E -1.58%K -4.04%G +0.000%	1.5%	2026-08-07 05:00
LowVig.ag🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.528%E -0.216%K -0.364%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.77%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-08-07 04:59
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.528%E -0.216%K -0.364%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.77%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-08-07 05:00
GTbets🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.528%E -0.216%K -0.364%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.77%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-08-07 05:05
Fliff🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.528%E -0.216%K -0.364%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.34%E -4.70%K -13.10%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-07 04:10
theScore Bet🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.56%E -1.07%K -1.83%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-08-07 05:35
Dabble (AU)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.56%E -1.07%K -1.83%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.93%E -5.12%K -14.42%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-07 05:50
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.56%E -1.07%K -1.83%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.93%E -5.12%K -14.42%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-07 05:10
Bovada🎯	2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.13%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-07 04:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.37%E -1.42%K -2.44%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.77%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-07 05:35
FanDuel🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.37%E -1.42%K -2.44%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-07 03:50
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.37%E -1.42%K -2.44%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-07 05:06
BetRivers🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.37%E -1.42%K -2.44%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-07 05:10
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.37%E -1.42%K -2.44%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-07 05:10
Svenska Spel🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.37%E -1.42%K -2.44%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-07 05:10
betPARX🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.37%E -1.42%K -2.44%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-07 05:06
Bally Bet🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.37%E -1.42%K -2.44%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-07 05:06
Casumo🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.37%E -1.42%K -2.44%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-07 05:10
Unibet🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.37%E -1.42%K -2.44%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-07 05:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.37%E -1.42%K -2.44%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-07 05:10
ATG (SE)🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.37%E -1.42%K -2.44%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-07 05:10
Paddy Power🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.37%E -1.42%K -2.44%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.83%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-07 03:50
1xBet🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -0.209%E -0.124%K -0.308%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-08-07 04:15
Betway🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-07 03:55
Fanatics🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-07 04:05
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-07 07:00
888sport🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-07 04:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-07 04:00
888sport (SE)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-07 04:00
Coolbet🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-07 04:25
LeoVegas🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-07 07:00
TABtouch🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-07 05:10
Betr (AU)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.56%E -3.49%K -9.42%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-07 04:00
SportsBet🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.83%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-07 03:50
Bet Right🎯	2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.99%E -2.13%K -3.73%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-07 04:00
NordicBet🎯	2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.40%E -2.32%K -4.06%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-07 04:35
Betsson🎯	2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.40%E -2.32%K -4.06%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-07 04:35
Virgin Bet🎯	2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -5.40%E -2.32%K -4.06%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -6.15%E -3.89%K -10.60%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-07 05:10
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -5.40%E -2.32%K -4.06%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -6.15%E -3.89%K -10.60%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-07 05:10
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -5.81%E -2.50%K -4.40%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.56%E -3.49%K -9.42%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-07 06:59
TAB🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.99%E -1.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-07 03:59
PlayUp🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.18%E -1.95%K -5.05%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-07 04:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.77%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-07 04:00
William Hill🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.77%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-07 04:55
BoyleSports🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.77%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-07 05:45
Bet Victor🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-07 03:55
betano_uk🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-07 03:55
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-07 04:15
ReBet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.56%E -3.49%K -9.42%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-07 06:59
Marathon Bet🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.43%E -3.26%K -5.81%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.18%E -1.95%K -5.05%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-07 03:55
Grosvenor🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -7.43%E -3.26%K -5.81%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -8.53%E -5.54%K -15.79%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-08-07 05:10
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.83%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-07 06:10
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -7.34%E -4.70%K -13.10%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-08-07 07:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33%	1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67%	0.5%	2026-08-07 06:35
Polymarket◎	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%	1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%	1.2%	2026-08-07 03:55
Kalshi◎	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%	1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%	1.2%	2026-08-07 04:55
ProphetX◎	2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%	1.61I 62.11%NM 61.02%	1.8%	2026-08-07 06:20
Smarkets◎	2.22I 45.05%NM 40.96%	1.54I 64.94%NM 59.04%	10.0%	2026-08-07 07:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.01I 99.01%NM 61.74%	1.63I 61.35%NM 38.26%	60.4%	2026-08-07 05:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.01I 99.01%NM 61.74%	1.63I 61.35%NM 38.26%	60.4%	2026-08-07 05:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.01I 99.01%NM 61.74%	1.63I 61.35%NM 38.26%	60.4%	2026-08-07 05:40

Arbitrage (1 combination) +0.48%Hard Rock Bet 2.50 (40.2%) / 1xBet 1.68 (59.8%)Show details

Hard Rock Bet🎯 1xBet🎯

Kansas City Royals (Local)	Chicago Cubs (Visit)	Margin
Hard Rock Bet🎯 2.50 (40.2%)	1xBet🎯 1.68 (59.8%)	+0.478%