StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Kansas City Royals v Chicago Cubs

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-08 00:11 UTC

Endstand: Kansas City Royals 4–6 Chicago Cubs

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Kansas City Royals (Heim)

Prognose 39.59%2.53faire Quote
EV +4.12%
Vorteil +1.57%
Kelly +2.53%
Wachstum +0.104%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.63

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
36.74%39.46%39.58%40.72%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.302.442.452.6343.48%40.92%40.82%38.02%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Cubs (Auswärts)

Prognose 60.41%1.66faire Quote
EV -1.53%
Vorteil -0.938%
Kelly -2.43%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.63

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
59.28%60.54%60.42%63.26%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.451.561.571.6368.97%64.13%63.69%61.35%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Kansas City Royals (Heim): 39.59%; Chicago Cubs (Auswärts): 60.41%. Für Kansas City Royals (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.53. 11 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.63 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +4.12%.

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV +4.12%E +1.57%K +2.53%G +0.104%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -6.97%E -4.52%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-07 23:55
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.93%E +1.13%K +1.83%G +0.054%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 23:55
DraftKings🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV +1.35%E +0.526%K +0.864%G +0.012%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -5.76%E -3.69%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-08 00:10
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.951%E +0.373%K +0.614%G +0.006%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 21:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.951%E +0.373%K +0.614%G +0.006%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.38%E -6.26%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 00:10
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.951%E +0.373%K +0.614%G +0.006%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.38%E -6.26%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 00:10
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.951%E +0.373%K +0.614%G +0.006%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.38%E -6.26%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 00:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.951%E +0.373%K +0.614%G +0.006%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.38%E -6.26%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.951%E +0.373%K +0.614%G +0.006%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.38%E -6.26%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV +0.951%E +0.373%K +0.614%G +0.006%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -9.99%E -6.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 23:55
Caesars🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.89%EV +0.159%E +0.063%K +0.104%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.11%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-07 17:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -1.03%E -0.411%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-07 23:54
GTbets🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.03%E -0.411%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-07 13:05
BetAnything🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.03%E -0.411%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.95%E -2.48%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-07 19:55
Fliff🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.03%E -0.411%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 18:40
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -1.03%E -0.411%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -9.99%E -6.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -1.42%E -0.572%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 13:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -1.42%E -0.572%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 13:05
Pinnacle🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -1.82%E -0.734%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-08 00:05
Bally Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -1.82%E -0.734%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -9.99%E -6.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 00:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -1.82%E -0.734%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -9.99%E -6.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 00:10
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -1.82%E -0.734%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -10.59%E -7.16%K -22.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 00:10
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.53%E -0.938%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-07 13:09
BetUS🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-07 21:25
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-08 00:10
ReBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.95%E -2.48%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 18:15
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.95%E -2.48%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 20:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 13:10
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 13:11
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 13:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 00:10
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 21:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 21:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 21:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.80%E -1.56%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.95%E -2.48%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 19:19
SportsBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.80%E -1.56%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.76%E -3.69%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.37%EV -3.80%E -1.56%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.63%EV -12.40%E -8.55%K -27.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 00:10
Bet Right🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.20%E -1.73%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 21:05
Bovada🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -3.95%E -2.48%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 00:09
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 09:03
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.95%E -2.48%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 08:14
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 23:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 12:35
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 23:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.76%E -3.69%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 00:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 05:10
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 23:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 00:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 13:05
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 07:55
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 21:45
NordicBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.17%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 09:05
Betsson🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.17%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 09:04
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.97%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 00:10
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.97%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 13:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.97%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 13:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.97%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 00:10
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.97%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 00:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 00:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 00:10
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 00:09
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 00:08
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
BetOpenly◎2.59I 38.61%NM 38.63%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.37%-0.0%2026-08-08 00:09
ProphetX◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.38%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.62%-0.0%2026-08-08 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%0.3%2026-08-07 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-08-08 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%0.8%2026-08-08 00:10
Polymarket◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-08-07 23:05
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-08-07 18:30
Novig◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-08-08 00:10
Matchbook◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%1.5%2026-08-08 00:10
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%1.9%2026-08-08 00:10