StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Kansas City Royals v Chicago Cubs

2026-08-08 00:11 UTC — MLB

Direkter Vergleich

54 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Kansas City Royals (Heim)

Prognose 40.52%2.47faire Quote
EV +1.30%
Vorteil +0.521%
Kelly +0.869%
Wachstum +0.011%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
38.60%40.46%40.51%41.77%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.252.362.352.5044.44%42.39%42.55%40.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Cubs (Auswärts)

Prognose 59.48%1.68faire Quote
EV -0.076%
Vorteil -0.045%
Kelly -0.111%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.68

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
58.23%59.54%59.49%61.40%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.541.601.601.6864.94%62.47%62.50%59.52%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Kansas City Royals (Heim): 40.52%; Chicago Cubs (Auswärts): 59.48%. Für Kansas City Royals (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.47. 2 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 2.50 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +1.30%.

Wettanbieterquoten (54 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV +1.30%E +0.521%K +0.869%G +0.011%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-07 05:50
Caesars🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90%EV +0.087%E +0.035%K +0.059%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10%EV -2.45%E -1.50%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-07 05:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.723%E -0.295%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-07 04:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.723%E -0.295%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-07 05:00
GTbets🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.723%E -0.295%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-07 05:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.723%E -0.295%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.62%E -4.22%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 07:15
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -0.723%E -0.295%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.40%E -5.46%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 07:39
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.75%E -1.15%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.24%E -2.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-07 05:35
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.75%E -1.15%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.81%E -5.04%K -14.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 07:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.75%E -1.15%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.81%E -5.04%K -14.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 05:10
Bovada🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -3.15%E -1.32%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.24%E -2.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 04:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 05:35
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.24%E -2.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 03:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.24%E -2.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 05:06
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.24%E -2.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 05:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.24%E -2.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 05:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.24%E -2.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 05:10
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 05:06
Bally Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 05:06
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 05:10
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 05:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 05:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 05:10
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.62%E -4.22%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 03:50
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -0.076%E -0.045%K -0.111%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-07 04:15
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.24%E -2.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 03:55
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.24%E -2.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 04:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 07:00
888sport🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 04:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 04:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 04:00
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 04:25
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 07:00
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 05:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.43%E -3.41%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 04:00
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.62%E -4.22%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 03:50
Bet Right🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.18%E -2.21%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.24%E -2.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 04:00
NordicBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.59%E -2.40%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.24%E -2.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 04:35
Betsson🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.59%E -2.40%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.24%E -2.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 04:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -5.59%E -2.40%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -6.02%E -3.81%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 05:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -5.59%E -2.40%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -6.02%E -3.81%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 05:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -5.99%E -2.58%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.43%E -3.41%K -9.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 06:59
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.80%E -2.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.86%E -1.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 03:59
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.80%E -2.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.05%E -1.87%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 04:00
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.80%E -2.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 04:55
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.80%E -2.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:45
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.80%E -2.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 03:55
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.80%E -2.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 03:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.80%E -2.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 04:15
ReBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.80%E -2.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.43%E -3.41%K -9.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 06:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.61%E -3.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.05%E -1.87%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 03:55
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -7.61%E -3.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -8.40%E -5.46%K -15.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 05:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.83%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.62%E -4.22%K -11.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 06:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.83%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -7.21%E -4.62%K -12.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 07:00
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Novig2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67%0.5%2026-08-07 06:35
Polymarket2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-08-07 03:55
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-08-07 04:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%1.3%2026-08-07 07:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%1.3%2026-08-07 07:45
ProphetX2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.02%1.8%2026-08-07 06:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%2.7%2026-08-07 07:25
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%4.2%2026-08-07 07:45
Arbitrage (1 Kombination) +0.48%Hard Rock Bet 2.50 (40.2%) / 1xBet 1.68 (59.8%)Einzelheiten anzeigen
Kansas City Royals (Heim)Chicago Cubs (Auswärts)Marge
Hard Rock Bet🎯 2.50 (40.2%)1xBet🎯 1.68 (59.8%)+0.478%