Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals v Chicago Cubs

Início: 2026-08-08 00:11 UTC

Final: Kansas City Royals 4–6 Chicago Cubs

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Previsão 39.59%2.53odd justa
EV +4.12%
Vantagem +1.57%
Kelly +2.53%
Crescimento +0.104%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.74%39.46%39.58%40.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.442.452.6343.48%40.92%40.82%38.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Previsão 60.41%1.66odd justa
EV -1.53%
Vantagem -0.938%
Kelly -2.43%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.28%60.54%60.42%63.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.451.561.571.6368.97%64.13%63.69%61.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Kansas City Royals (Local): 39.59%; Chicago Cubs (Visitante): 60.41%. Para Kansas City Royals (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.53. 11 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.63, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.12%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV +4.12%E +1.57%K +2.53%G +0.104%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -6.97%E -4.52%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-07 23:55
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.93%E +1.13%K +1.83%G +0.054%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 23:55
DraftKings🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV +1.35%E +0.526%K +0.864%G +0.012%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -5.76%E -3.69%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-08 00:10
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.951%E +0.373%K +0.614%G +0.006%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 21:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.951%E +0.373%K +0.614%G +0.006%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.38%E -6.26%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 00:10
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.951%E +0.373%K +0.614%G +0.006%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.38%E -6.26%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 00:10
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.951%E +0.373%K +0.614%G +0.006%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.38%E -6.26%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 00:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.951%E +0.373%K +0.614%G +0.006%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.38%E -6.26%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.951%E +0.373%K +0.614%G +0.006%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.38%E -6.26%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV +0.951%E +0.373%K +0.614%G +0.006%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -9.99%E -6.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 23:55
Caesars🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.89%EV +0.159%E +0.063%K +0.104%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.11%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-07 17:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -1.03%E -0.411%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-07 23:54
GTbets🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.03%E -0.411%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-07 13:05
BetAnything🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.03%E -0.411%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.95%E -2.48%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-07 19:55
Fliff🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.03%E -0.411%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 18:40
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -1.03%E -0.411%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -9.99%E -6.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -1.42%E -0.572%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 13:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -1.42%E -0.572%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 13:05
Pinnacle🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -1.82%E -0.734%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-08 00:05
Bally Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -1.82%E -0.734%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -9.99%E -6.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 00:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -1.82%E -0.734%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -9.99%E -6.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 00:10
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -1.82%E -0.734%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -10.59%E -7.16%K -22.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 00:10
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.53%E -0.938%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-07 13:09
BetUS🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-07 21:25
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-08 00:10
ReBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.95%E -2.48%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 18:15
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.95%E -2.48%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 20:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 13:10
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 13:11
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 13:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 00:10
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 21:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 21:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 21:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.80%E -1.56%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.95%E -2.48%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 19:19
SportsBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.80%E -1.56%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.76%E -3.69%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.37%EV -3.80%E -1.56%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.63%EV -12.40%E -8.55%K -27.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 00:10
Bet Right🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.20%E -1.73%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 21:05
Bovada🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -3.95%E -2.48%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 00:09
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 09:03
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.95%E -2.48%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 08:14
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 23:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 12:35
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 23:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.76%E -3.69%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 00:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 05:10
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 23:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 00:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 13:05
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 07:55
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 21:45
NordicBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.17%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 09:05
Betsson🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.17%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 09:04
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.97%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 00:10
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.97%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 13:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.97%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 13:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.97%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 00:10
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.97%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 00:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 00:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 00:10
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 00:09
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 00:08
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎2.59I 38.61%NM 38.63%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.37%-0.0%2026-08-08 00:09
ProphetX◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.38%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.62%-0.0%2026-08-08 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%0.3%2026-08-07 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-08-08 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%0.8%2026-08-08 00:10
Polymarket◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-08-07 23:05
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-08-07 18:30
Novig◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-08-08 00:10
Matchbook◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%1.5%2026-08-08 00:10
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%1.9%2026-08-08 00:10