Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kansas City Royals v Chicago Cubs

2026-08-08 00:11 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Prévision 40.52%2.47cote équitable
EV +1.30%
Avantage +0.521%
Kelly +0.869%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.60%40.46%40.51%41.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.362.352.5044.44%42.39%42.55%40.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Chicago Cubs (Visiteur)

Prévision 59.48%1.68cote équitable
EV -0.076%
Avantage -0.045%
Kelly -0.111%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.23%59.54%59.49%61.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.541.601.601.6864.94%62.47%62.50%59.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Kansas City Royals (Local) : 40.52% ; Chicago Cubs (Visiteur) : 59.48%. Pour Kansas City Royals (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.47. 2 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.50, pour une espérance positive de +1.30%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV +1.30%E +0.521%K +0.869%G +0.011%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-07 05:50
Caesars🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90%EV +0.087%E +0.035%K +0.059%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10%EV -2.45%E -1.50%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-07 05:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.723%E -0.295%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-07 04:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.723%E -0.295%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-07 05:00
GTbets🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.723%E -0.295%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-07 05:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.723%E -0.295%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.62%E -4.22%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 07:15
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -0.723%E -0.295%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.40%E -5.46%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 07:39
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.75%E -1.15%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.24%E -2.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-07 05:35
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.75%E -1.15%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.81%E -5.04%K -14.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 07:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.75%E -1.15%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.81%E -5.04%K -14.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 05:10
Bovada🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -3.15%E -1.32%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.24%E -2.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 04:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 05:35
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.24%E -2.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 03:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.24%E -2.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 05:06
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.24%E -2.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 05:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.24%E -2.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 05:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.24%E -2.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 05:10
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 05:06
Bally Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 05:06
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 05:10
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 05:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 05:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 05:10
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.62%E -4.22%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 03:50
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -0.076%E -0.045%K -0.111%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-07 04:15
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.24%E -2.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 03:55
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.24%E -2.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 04:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 07:00
888sport🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 04:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 04:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 04:00
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 04:25
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 07:00
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 05:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.43%E -3.41%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 04:00
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.62%E -4.22%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 03:50
Bet Right🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.18%E -2.21%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.24%E -2.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 04:00
NordicBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.59%E -2.40%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.24%E -2.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 04:35
Betsson🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.59%E -2.40%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.24%E -2.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 04:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -5.59%E -2.40%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -6.02%E -3.81%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 05:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -5.59%E -2.40%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -6.02%E -3.81%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 05:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -5.99%E -2.58%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.43%E -3.41%K -9.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 06:59
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.80%E -2.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.86%E -1.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 03:59
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.80%E -2.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.05%E -1.87%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 04:00
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.80%E -2.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 04:55
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.80%E -2.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:45
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.80%E -2.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 03:55
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.80%E -2.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 03:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.80%E -2.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 04:15
ReBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.80%E -2.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.43%E -3.41%K -9.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 06:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.61%E -3.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.05%E -1.87%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 03:55
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -7.61%E -3.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -8.40%E -5.46%K -15.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 05:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.83%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.62%E -4.22%K -11.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 06:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.83%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -7.21%E -4.62%K -12.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 07:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67%0.5%2026-08-07 06:35
Polymarket2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-08-07 03:55
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-08-07 04:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%1.3%2026-08-07 07:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%1.3%2026-08-07 07:45
ProphetX2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.02%1.8%2026-08-07 06:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%2.7%2026-08-07 07:25
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%4.2%2026-08-07 07:45
Arbitrage (1 combinaison) +0.48%Hard Rock Bet 2.50 (40.2%) / 1xBet 1.68 (59.8%)Afficher les détails
Kansas City Royals (Local)Chicago Cubs (Visiteur)Marge
Hard Rock Bet🎯 2.50 (40.2%)1xBet🎯 1.68 (59.8%)+0.478%