Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Kansas City Royals v Chicago Cubs

Początek: 2026-08-08 00:11 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Kansas City Royals 4–6 Chicago Cubs

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

63 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Kansas City Royals (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 39.59%2.53kurs godziwy
EV +4.12%
Przewaga +1.57%
Kelly +2.53%
Wzrost +0.104%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.63

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
36.74%39.46%39.58%40.72%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.302.442.452.6343.48%40.92%40.82%38.02%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Chicago Cubs (Goście)

Prognoza 60.41%1.66kurs godziwy
EV -1.53%
Przewaga -0.938%
Kelly -2.43%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.63

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
59.28%60.54%60.42%63.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.451.561.571.6368.97%64.13%63.69%61.35%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Kansas City Royals (Gospodarze): 39.59%; Chicago Cubs (Goście): 60.41%. Dla wyniku Kansas City Royals (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.53. 11 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.63, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +4.12%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV +4.12%E +1.57%K +2.53%G +0.104%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -6.97%E -4.52%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-07 23:55
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.93%E +1.13%K +1.83%G +0.054%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 23:55
DraftKings🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV +1.35%E +0.526%K +0.864%G +0.012%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -5.76%E -3.69%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-08 00:10
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.951%E +0.373%K +0.614%G +0.006%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 21:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.951%E +0.373%K +0.614%G +0.006%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.38%E -6.26%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 00:10
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.951%E +0.373%K +0.614%G +0.006%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.38%E -6.26%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 00:10
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.951%E +0.373%K +0.614%G +0.006%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.38%E -6.26%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 00:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.951%E +0.373%K +0.614%G +0.006%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.38%E -6.26%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.951%E +0.373%K +0.614%G +0.006%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.38%E -6.26%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV +0.951%E +0.373%K +0.614%G +0.006%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -9.99%E -6.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 23:55
Caesars🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.89%EV +0.159%E +0.063%K +0.104%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.11%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-07 17:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -1.03%E -0.411%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-07 23:54
GTbets🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.03%E -0.411%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-07 13:05
BetAnything🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.03%E -0.411%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.95%E -2.48%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-07 19:55
Fliff🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.03%E -0.411%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 18:40
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -1.03%E -0.411%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -9.99%E -6.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -1.42%E -0.572%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 13:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -1.42%E -0.572%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 13:05
Pinnacle🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -1.82%E -0.734%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -2.13%E -1.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-08 00:05
Bally Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -1.82%E -0.734%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -9.99%E -6.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 00:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -1.82%E -0.734%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -9.99%E -6.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 00:10
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -1.82%E -0.734%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -10.59%E -7.16%K -22.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 00:10
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.53%E -0.938%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-07 13:09
BetUS🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-07 21:25
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-08 00:10
ReBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.95%E -2.48%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 18:15
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.95%E -2.48%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 20:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 13:10
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 13:11
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 13:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 00:10
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 21:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 21:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 21:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.80%E -1.56%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.95%E -2.48%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 19:19
SportsBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.80%E -1.56%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.76%E -3.69%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.37%EV -3.80%E -1.56%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.63%EV -12.40%E -8.55%K -27.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 00:10
Bet Right🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.20%E -1.73%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 21:05
Bovada🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -3.95%E -2.48%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 00:09
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 09:03
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.95%E -2.48%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 08:14
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 23:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 12:35
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 23:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.76%E -3.69%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 00:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 05:10
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 23:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 00:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 13:05
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 07:55
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 21:45
NordicBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.17%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 09:05
Betsson🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.17%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 09:04
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.97%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 00:10
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.97%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 13:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.97%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 13:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.97%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 00:10
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.97%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 00:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.55%E -2.88%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 00:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 00:10
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 00:09
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 00:08
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (10)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
BetOpenly◎2.59I 38.61%NM 38.63%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.37%-0.0%2026-08-08 00:09
ProphetX◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.38%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.62%-0.0%2026-08-08 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%0.3%2026-08-07 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-08-08 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%0.8%2026-08-08 00:10
Polymarket◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-08-07 23:05
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-08-07 18:30
Novig◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-08-08 00:10
Matchbook◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%1.5%2026-08-08 00:10
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%1.9%2026-08-08 00:10